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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. We’ll have multiple shots as the block retrogrades and then a HECS opportunity once the block diminishes for Archambault event feb 10-17. The retrograded block forces low heights out over 50/50 region with potential split flow underneath -epo. This month could be epic if things break right
  2. I’m telling you guys whatever happens over next 10 days is gravy. The pattern at the end of euro is HECS potential. We do well at the end of the pattern when it’s about to break down. There’s a split flow setup with lower heights all pressed east into 50/50 region. At this range timing and placement of features is crap, it’s the overall idea you look at. We’re way too far out to know the details but feb 10-17 should have a legit shot at another major event for EC.
  3. Hey all! I storm chased up to Dover NJ. Finally got lucky, band stalled over this region all afternoon. Total anywhere from 24-28”, and I’m sure there is isolated 30 spots. Just wanted to see 2 feet somewhere this year and it happened, the rest is gravy. anywhere, onto the LR Sunday, the issue with this potential event is that the wave is just an extension of the tpv. This unfortunately could allow HP to slide off the EC and put a low in the lakes. This could still work if the two vorts dive farther SE & with the block this could very well happen. I am highly interested in the day 10-15 time frame. We usually cash as things break down or relax a bit. On this map you can see the block has retrograded. This has allowed a huge 50/50 ULL to form. There’s bit of a split flow out west. What would be important here is if the block retrograded more southwest than due west. If the NS cooperates this has big time potential.
  4. Yeah just a complete guess dover id say 25-27 makes sense fallen (maybe more). Otg probably less since overnight with the weight. Those bands currently are just to my west.
  5. I’m 25 minute drive NNE from there in Dover. I don’t measure so just going off official obs. At 7pm a place 15 mins southwest of me had 25.8. I’m guessing we finish 28-32” here. It’s been snowing lightly all night. This region jackpotted because of a nearly stationary band between like 2pm-6pm
  6. Damn my dad is up near warminster near Davisville/street. Nice hit
  7. I think a lesson learned for myself and others is h7 pass. Anytime you see the models have an h7 low on top of us you should expect a warm layer to exist. Need it to be farther SE
  8. This is also one of my favorite storms down in Philly. Waa snows overachieved and surprised in the first part and while the gap kind of sucked the main show was incredible with white out conditions for a few hours.
  9. Sweet vort pass on last nights euro. Other models sort of backed off a bit but not enough to not be interested. This has a SNE up through NNE look to it. Issue I have with setup is the trough is kind of hooked up back towards Canada. Kind of an extension of the tpv. Would probably be a fast mover but a crusher if this verified.
  10. Anyone near dover have latest official measurement? Looks like we will have light snow with moderate bursts through most of the day. My guess is we could get another 1-3” , regardless it’ll make for a very scenic day with 2ft+ on the ground
  11. I’m legitimately thinking I have a shot to hit 3 feet here. It’ll depend what happens late tonight and Tom if we can add on like 2-3” after this band fades... it’ll be the most snow I’ve ever seen
  12. Keep me posted on our official total. I think this band has a few more hours in it. Then late tonight into tomorrow probably wind whipped light snow so will be close! I’m at the Hilton Dover Rockaway
  13. Hey guys, I finally may jackpot a chase, or close to it. Currently in Dover NJ. I’ve been sitting in the south end of this band all day. It refused to move west of me. It’s been 8 years coming since I made my first chase up to MA for feb 2013. With what’s left has to be a chance for 30-35” I just don’t know what type of rates we see overnight/tomorrow. I also don’t measure so just going off official nws measurements.
  14. I’ve been getting a stalled ccb band train through here all afternoon. I left Allentown late day yesterday to come to Dover. Probably wouldn’t have mattered, but I may end up over 30”
  15. That band over dover region has just been training all day. Not letting up. For once I got lucky on a chase lol. Probably end up between 23-27 all said and done
  16. This band over dover NJ is just locked in at this spot. Thought it was gonna go west it’s actually sunk south. It hasn’t left in over 2 hours I have just enough latitude. Have to have close to 20. Anyone live near dover that has a official total?
  17. I left Abe for Dover nj late yesterday after the late model trends, will be curious who gets more haha
  18. I may sleet all the way up here in dover nj, well not before up to 2 feet, but shows how far n and undermodeled it is
  19. I imagine this line just moves with the back edge of precip so it doesn’t really matter
  20. Anyone near dover have anofficial measurement? Curious what I have I’d guess close to a foot but idk. Getting close to the epic stuff
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