Heisy

This was the first event I experienced after joining the wx community. About a week or two prior there was a massive cold front and blocking formed. Dec 30 2000 was originally a Miller A HECS on the models in the medium to long range, then it morphed into the Miller B it became. I remember texting Ji at around 3am the day of the event and him saying he couldn’t see a cloud in the sky which definitely didn’t bode well lmao.

Ray has a great archive website, google “Rays winter storm archive” it will be the first link: Unfortunately he stopped during the 2013 season, but from 93-13 he has every map from every winter storm in the region. He also has a great YouTube channel with TWC/local news broadcasts from a ton of events. Pretty cool if you’re in a nostalgic mood. Every fall I go on my own nostalgia trip to get in the mood for winter. Question: what’s the deal with the model upgrades this fall. What exactly is going on with GFS & EPS. I remember reading last winter that the eps would upgrade to 50 more members and better resolution. The OP would also go out farther during 6/18z runs. .

Thanks, Yea if I remember the tweet last year from ecmwf they were adding like 50 eps members or something, better resolution, and possibly longer forecasts at 6/18z .

Anyone know when the EPS upgrade is happening? I remember last year reading some news it was getting a large upgrade. Only a few months if hell left! .

Really contemplating chasing this thing, am I that insane? Maybe

There’s actually a lot of ensemble members on the gefs, eps, Canadian that have a shot of snow day 8. I’m not ready to give up yet, let’s reel it in

I saw a 76ers logo and had to respond! I only worry about Boston and Brooklyn. Any other team in the east we should be relative favorites. We would probably go 7 games with Miami but I don’t fear them. Boston has the best record in NBA since January 1 and Brooklyn would be hella motivated to beat us. The oddest statistic this year is our home vs away record. We used to be unstoppable at home. Just odd. Team is still getting used to playing with each other. Bench is an issue but hopefully Doc shortens it during the playoffs.

Yeah there’s some hinting of a west based block forming. Could be possible to sneak something in between 25-1st well see

Yea I would ignore the specifics at this range, but there is a signal on the overall pattern for Davis straits block last week of the month. Unfortunate for those people dying for warmth

That’s actually pretty interesting setup around 25th if we can get that blocking ULL to trend to a better spot there’s a temporary block setup with a pna ride

Im keeping an eye on it all the way from Philly. Went to Estes park last year for the march storm and enjoyed it. Would love another Denver chase!

Post winter depression in full effect… Ugh

I like the period right after this. That’s more of a cold front for us/NNE snow type setup l. Ridge hasn’t beaten down yet. Once that front passes there should be a window with decent cold air available

6z euro

Gefs with a nice signal for this range.

Every time you post those ncep images I forget if I'm in 2003 or 2022

Yea was gonna post earlier with the map Cape posted, would probably need a well timed shortwave, one ahead to flatten out the ridge, and then something behind to pass at a perfect location. I think we'll track an event in March, but it does look like hibernation for the next 10 plus days

Nam came back to earth, it had its typical insane run, but as is its aligning towards most guidance with 2 to 4 around the city

And the 6ers have James Harden!

Ukie/GFS tandem never fails. Lock it up

Yep, it's why I started chasing storms many years ago. I go to at least one per year. Less stress worrying about storms hitting my backyard. I was just near Boston for last weekends event, was pretty epic. Then again others think I'm crazy. I don't really blame them lol..

Ensembles have been garbage this year anyway. This might be the first time all winter we've had every major OP model have a winter storm at this range. What could go wrong?! Ha.

Icon, cmc, euro, and to some extent the gfs looks pretty darn similar at 180 hours with this shortwave.

I'm way late to the party, didn't notice that ty