Heisy

Quick tidbit off euro, anyone ever see model show relative velocity (correct?) wave like this? .

Also, that strong wave at the end of euro run would also potentially lock in confluence for next wave. Show goes on. With this anomalous block there will be lots of potential for a miller B nuke. Look at the 12z control for entertainment purposes. Ignore the details .

Starting to see that classic 50/50 with a dip in the trough in the east on the mean. Even a little western ridge action. Long way out, but can’t complain about this 10-12 days out .

18z GFS same type of setup as the 12z euro in Day 10-12 fantasy land. It then does a March 4-6 2001 pin wheel phase for shits and giggles .

End of EURO run (for fun) decent setup with a little better positioning here. This was about to go a little nuts I think. .

Makes sense, if you look at todays EPS members, the ones that drop snow start around Day 11 or so. Hopefully in 2-4 days we get some tease rollin’ .

Agreed, something has to give, there’s plenty of snow events on the EPS members in the LR. Would be nice to at least be teased by something on an OP run already… .

I hear what you’re saying, but 3 days is kind of pushing it. I think you can have a good idea of a storm threat is real up to even 5-6. As long as you obviously don’t get caught up on specifics. Sure, there are events that sneak up on us, but there’s plenty that are at least on OP runs 5 to even 7 days out. Anyway, that was a beautiful EPS run. Little hint of a split flow forming too. .

Just imagine now till about December 4th doesn’t exist and you will all feel better. .

Still looking decent at 12z .

Let’s get this inside Day 10 .

Gotta give the GFS credit it sniffed burying the energy before rest of the models .

Just had lightning! .

Beautiful plume. .

Radar brightening up over the Lake. So jealous. Enjoy .

Couldn’t switch my work schedule enough to make it out. Jealous. Extremely jealous. Enjoy it! Be safe .

Shame this isn’t a few weeks later. As is almost close enough. .

Couple 6z euro members and control dive that N/S energy around the 20th far enough south to generate some snow for the region. PNA spike aids in this. Something to keep an eye on. Potent N/S shortwaves are always modeled poorly imo. .

I’m considering going! A LES monster is still on my bucket chase list. All depends on work, and how fast I think I can leave Buffalo for Philly. .

I’m going to do what I can, all depends on work schedule Thanks all! Most snow I ever saw in one event was around 30”. I couldn’t imagine how awesome an experience of 2-4” rates and 36-48” would be .

I could leave late Wednesday and drive there all night. If I’m able to call out Friday then I wouldn’t work again until Sunday at 6pm which I probably wouldn’t be able to move. I don’t know if it’s possible to get back to Philly by Sunday. Are they able to clear the roads to make them at least passable to get outside the LES effected region? I own a normal sedan. Unless I decide to rent a truck/SUV. .

Been wanting to chase a LES event for a long time. I’ve been all over the country for major events, but for some reason LES hasn’t worked out. I work Friday but could possibly call out/switch my schedule around and get there from Thursday-Saturday. Contemplating it heh. .

Guess only hope is a delay considering it’s moving in now and it’s only 6pm. Could probably play through intermittent showers at a 9:30 start

Yea regardless whether he’s good or not, just a nostalgic thought. My morning ritual during my high school days back during those years was wake up at 6, read his newsletter, check wright-weather, and double check the LR AVN/MRF whatever it was called back in those days haha (GFS) BTW this year I don’t plan any chases up near you guys unless there’s some crazy HECS like 2013 level on the models. I got my fill during last years blizzard. I would like to go LES chasing. Never experienced a major LES event. can’t believe we just about finally made it to November, let’s gooooo.

I remember getting his morning newsletter back in the 2000-2007 years. Used to love waking up reading that before school haha.