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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    18z euro tick better for the region
  2. Heisy
    Pretty much all the data heh. His call is spot on imo.
  3. Heisy
    Valentine’s Day 2007 I believe
  4. Heisy
    Weenie happy hour GFS run. Keeps confluence strong enough for wednesday night-Thursday. Might even be cold enough with next wave too
  5. Heisy
    That’s an archambault event imo. Has a really good 50/50 & Hp early on but the trough is linked too far into the northwest and it takes too long to come east. Long way out
  6. Heisy
    could be a pretty massive ice storm down in VA... Also, Half inch of ice up near Allentown on top of all the snow they’ve had and will get sounds pretty terrible to me. That’d be wild.
  7. Heisy
    Thanks, the 12z gfs has “the heisy” event I’ve been talking about. It tracks a bit inland at H5 but is a classic archambault timing event imo. This is when the ULL moves towards the 50/50 region and the block breaks down
  8. Heisy
    3” is my goal in northeast Philly. Well see. Just to see some heavy snow for an hour would be cool.
  9. Heisy
    Cmc has a really bad ice storm day 5. On top of that looks like 3-5” or so falls before the changeover, plus the freezing rain is overnight. Anyone have maps? Curious how much snow it has before the changeover
  10. Heisy
    Rgem and icon East FYI. Worried the NAM had the fgen too far NW
  11. Heisy
    Actually it’s right in its range imo so should start looking like the rest of guidance. I wouldn’t use NAM or rgem outside 36-48 hours and honestly 9.99/10 go with the EPS for the snow axis and the mesos inside 24 hours for last second adjustments. that being said I was personally very happy To see rgem shift like that. Haha
  12. Heisy
    This is the Wentz storm time frame btw. Hope it can deliver. The big tpv has finally moved to 50/50 land. I’ll take my chances with this look! Just gotta get that pna ridge east a bit
  13. Heisy
    Some of this is probably sleet, but check out this 00z eps snow mean for end of the run lol. Mjo you have the eps wxbell by chance?
  14. Heisy
    Sounds about right. The rgem ticking was huge. I think the better totals will be just east of 95 though, but I guess climo argues otherwise. Regardless anyone complaining about even 3-4” a few days after a mecs and with another event in the day 6 vicinity is nuts. This is awesome! Let’s get some tsnow tomorrow
  15. Heisy
    Some of the maps don’t let you for some reason it’s odd. Only reason I screenshot
  16. Heisy
    The new king just got juicier
  17. Heisy
    Icon is juicy. King has spoken all hail the king
  18. Heisy
    Looking at the surface and mid levels I think SV is wrong it’s more of a mix down there. Sv snow map likes to count sleet as snow for some reason. Better mean up towards us when comparing to wxbell
  19. Heisy
    Will you have frame of that when it’s a little farther south? Appreciate it
  20. Heisy
    Yea haha I was just saying similar setup but the SNE whiff ain’t happening imo . Just another quick hitting event that dumped major totals in a quick time span. It’s certainly possible
  21. Heisy
    Posted on our forum. Analog. Very similar H5 map with the NS and southern vort racing each other. Parts of Philly region saw over a foot in less than 4 hours. 2/23/87
  22. Heisy
    While it is stronger that northern piece is pressing a bit more and is slightly more ahead of the flow, but I think this should be a good run
  23. Heisy
    Eps has a better positioned TpV and its snow mean is probably the best we’ve at this range all year?
  24. Heisy
    It’s not really about undergoing the SE ridge, it’s about where it dumps the big ULL. If you dump it was of lakes and far enough south you get an icon solution. More west like euro it’s maybe some front end to ice, drizzle. The ridge just responds to the placement of that feature.
  25. Heisy
    Just gotta hope too much of the ULL energy doesn’t get dumped west since that’ll raise heights
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