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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Didn’t really turn out that way post 270 hours as I thought it was. Still, not a completely horrible look. Site won’t let me post photos for some reason .
  2. Nice change on 18z GEFS long range. Looks like PV diving SE with split flow out west. .
  3. Looks like 18z gfs forming NAO as well around Day 8-10 .
  4. Euro looks like it’s trying to form NAO as well, not like cmc yet, but you can see the beginning stages .
  5. Todays CMC also has NAO form day 8-10. Not sure if it’s legit yet because not really seeing the same signal on the ensembles yet. .
  6. Two runs in a row now have an Atlantic Block forming on LR GFS. Blip? Idk, but god we need something to change it up…. .
  7. Like iceman said it could just be a global blip run. We’ll know by around 1-2am. Precip should fill in around N VA by then, if it’s at our latitude then should get some snow .
  8. Yea I meant like the rgem has been right all along lol .
  9. I was being sarcastic, but gfs tends to overdo qpr almost always…. Anyone see the 18z euro thouh? Surprise coming .
  10. Yeah GFS will bust badly. But hopefully we can whiten the ground tonight .
  11. Anyone see latest GFS? Remember the precip we had today was just from the front. The actual accumulating snow chance was late tonight into tomorrow AM .
  12. Weeklies torch February from 11/12th onward. March 1 on there’s a little hint at colder air available, but pac pattern still looks meh. This is maybe the best pattern during the entire run that I could find…pretty much more of the same of what we’ve been dealing with Barring a miracle it’s shit the blinds time. .
  13. Winter is cooked. At least we have the Eagles. Maybe a chance in March, but that’s about it. Record breaking snowless winter. Can only go up from here next winter .
  14. Worth watching but I think that 50/50 isn’t exactly at 50/50. Little too far N. Would need the shortwave to take an almost perfect track or see that trend S idk .
  15. Yea, if you go back and look at the euro from a few nights ago it got all the TPV energy out ahead of the southern ULL. Now the models have energy rotating N of the southern vort, just no space for it to come north. Shame .
  16. That was brutal 00z as expected. That day 9-10 event on the GFS had the Hp build in too late, but it’s absolutely horrible how nothing can go right. Praying for a March miracle, but at this rate just don’t see it happening. Some winters nothing goes right and this is def one of those .
  17. Disastrous 12z runs. This winter needs to die. Go Birds .
  18. Yea and 6z cmc trended better you can tell wave 1 would have ended farther S vs 00z (yes there is a 6z cmc but it only goes out to 84 hours, and no it isn’t the then) .
  19. CMC had a pumped up wave 1 as well fwiw. Btw if you bought icon solution verbatim it would be worst case scenario because it leaves no energy out west for wave 2, it’s likely out to lunch though…. .
  20. Alright I lied, one more post lol…. Here was cmc early on, if that southern energy is slower/NS energy faster then you have a lot more room for low to form. As is, with this winter I’d prefer things to look squashed at this range anyway .
  21. Won’t make another post unless euro does something fun tonight, but huge steps in right direction tonight for this event. Pretty sure 00z icon was going to lead to a MECS. Both GFS and CMC were strength/timing changes from being a lot better Night all .
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