Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Big snow event on 00z gfs, icon, and cmc for northern New England into Maine for around day 7. .
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Meh, that pac wave/-PNA and separation of the two waves isn’t looking too hot by 168 .
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Euro could follow gfs path here…. We’d have to time the shortwave perfectly and that system near Ne/Lakes would have to turn into a pretty strong 50/50 .
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My addiction keeps me chasing the next one and the next until we’re 100000% done .
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We’re in Lala land for this threat but I’m shitting the blinds until all events or chase events are 100% out the window haha I haven’t seen an inch of snow here outside Philly, brutal .
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GEFS on board for 28th as well now for interior. If only this setup was like 2-3 weeks earlier… .
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Wish this was like 2-3 weeks earlier… Jokes aside there’s actually a really large signal for a storm around 28th. .
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30 day rehab minimum, that’s what April is for usually. I’m ready to live again by May most years haha. .
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For St Paddy’s Day I’m working and tracking 28th time period. Sick life .
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Pretty big signal for a storm around 28th. Depends on TPV position and the storm ahead of it. Signal is there big time for the interior though… Control in here for entertainment purposes only .
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NE, especially interior will likely cash some point with one of the waves between 25-1st… .
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Also, what is it going to take to get a +PNA? That’s our culprit. Wave after wave for essentially 2 winters have just crashed into the west coast. .check out the 6z GFS, the entire is just -PNA death
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The same pattern all year, the ridge bridge of death. Anyone have a time machine I can use to thanksgiving? .
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That wave end of run was going to be a slow march roller, blocking is setup, that storm was in the midst of bombing. The 12z control is pure porno for New England and interior, wave after wave being forced just far enough under the block .
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25th or so has legs and then around 28-30th. Favorites are obviously places that got hit yesterday. .
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I work nights, saw the 6z eps before I fell asleep and knew something was terribly wrong. This winter man lol…. .
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Congrats to those who cashed in. I enjoyed watching from the side lines. Down here in snow helladelphia we have 0 snow for the season. Maybe a trace but does that really count? This is the first time in my life that I’ve gone an entire year without seeing an inch of snow since 0 chases this year. Life happens. You bet I’ll be going whenever, wherever next year! .
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Here is 6z vs 00z, note the faster energy out west. This trend was similar across other guidance as well…Good news is we’re still far enough out to see changes. .
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Exactly. Last nights more SE runs were partly a result from the PAC wave behind ours speeding up. This speeds up our waveand doesn’t give it space to amplify. Still have a shot, but for snow near the cities we need a very strong low. Night Time helps too. Just another way we may end up failing this year…. .
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Would you rather it be a cutter? Every event at this range has been shown as basically a cutter on the euro so I still take, trended better with N/S. One downside of some of the 00z runs was the energy behind our wave could act as a kicker. We’ll see what EPS shows. .
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This is the real deal, one caveat is increased speed of the pac wave behind it could push it east, but maybe that helps us I don’t know .
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Can see improved cold push, let’s see how it’s timed with the N/S shortwave around the lakes .
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00z GFS looks much improved…. Gotta head back to work but hopefully it leads to the good stuff. Better confluence pattern .
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If you go back and read my posts I was never excited about the previous few weeks. I understand the climo, but I’d personally argue that this is possibly one of the best means we’ve had all season. Only issue is with climo we need to be close to perfect. .
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This is the best looking Miller A look we’ve had all year on the snow mean. 18z eps/control improved at 144 as well with a weaker storm coming out and better confluence .
