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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Todays CMC also has NAO form day 8-10. Not sure if it’s legit yet because not really seeing the same signal on the ensembles yet. .
  2. Heisy
    Two runs in a row now have an Atlantic Block forming on LR GFS. Blip? Idk, but god we need something to change it up…. .
  3. Heisy
    Like iceman said it could just be a global blip run. We’ll know by around 1-2am. Precip should fill in around N VA by then, if it’s at our latitude then should get some snow .
  4. Heisy
    Yea I meant like the rgem has been right all along lol .
  5. Heisy
    May have a little surprise coming Rgem ftw .
  6. Heisy
    I was being sarcastic, but gfs tends to overdo qpr almost always…. Anyone see the 18z euro thouh? Surprise coming .
  7. Heisy
    Yeah GFS will bust badly. But hopefully we can whiten the ground tonight .
  8. Heisy
    Anyone see latest GFS? Remember the precip we had today was just from the front. The actual accumulating snow chance was late tonight into tomorrow AM .
  9. Heisy
    Weeklies torch February from 11/12th onward. March 1 on there’s a little hint at colder air available, but pac pattern still looks meh. This is maybe the best pattern during the entire run that I could find…pretty much more of the same of what we’ve been dealing with Barring a miracle it’s shit the blinds time. .
  10. Heisy
    Winter is cooked. At least we have the Eagles. Maybe a chance in March, but that’s about it. Record breaking snowless winter. Can only go up from here next winter .
  11. Heisy
    Worth watching but I think that 50/50 isn’t exactly at 50/50. Little too far N. Would need the shortwave to take an almost perfect track or see that trend S idk .
  12. Heisy
    Yea, if you go back and look at the euro from a few nights ago it got all the TPV energy out ahead of the southern ULL. Now the models have energy rotating N of the southern vort, just no space for it to come north. Shame .
  13. Heisy
    That was brutal 00z as expected. That day 9-10 event on the GFS had the Hp build in too late, but it’s absolutely horrible how nothing can go right. Praying for a March miracle, but at this rate just don’t see it happening. Some winters nothing goes right and this is def one of those .
  14. Heisy
    Disastrous 12z runs. This winter needs to die. Go Birds .
  15. Heisy
    Yea and 6z cmc trended better you can tell wave 1 would have ended farther S vs 00z (yes there is a 6z cmc but it only goes out to 84 hours, and no it isn’t the then) .
  16. Heisy
    CMC had a pumped up wave 1 as well fwiw. Btw if you bought icon solution verbatim it would be worst case scenario because it leaves no energy out west for wave 2, it’s likely out to lunch though…. .
  17. Heisy
    It’s still snowing here .
  18. Heisy
    Epic euro run for this winter, The Heisy lives! .
  19. Heisy
    Alright I lied, one more post lol…. Here was cmc early on, if that southern energy is slower/NS energy faster then you have a lot more room for low to form. As is, with this winter I’d prefer things to look squashed at this range anyway .
  20. Heisy
    Won’t make another post unless euro does something fun tonight, but huge steps in right direction tonight for this event. Pretty sure 00z icon was going to lead to a MECS. Both GFS and CMC were strength/timing changes from being a lot better Night all .
  21. Heisy
    Yep, timing was a bit off with NS energy so it got squashed, but it wasn’t far off from doing what we wanted. .
  22. Heisy
    00z cmc was a little bit off from showing a big event. As is gets some light snow into the mid Atlantic This was setup leading into it, just a little slower with southern energy and this is a great setup. .
  23. Heisy
    This is a much better look, not sure if it will deliver but isn’t holding the energy all the way back towards California this run. Out ahead is more of like a post frontal event .
  24. Heisy
    Icon at end of run. still think gfs is out to lunch holding energy so far back. Think we’re closer to an event on the models then people think. Just gotta get lucky for once .
  25. Heisy
    GFS left a ton of energy behind so there wasn’t as big of a cold push up top with the initial front, euro is on the other side of spectrum with only leaving a little behind. Need a perfect balance like Control. Or somehow get lucky with some kind of post fropa/anafront if trough goes positive idk…. .
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