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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    End of cmc ensembles finally get us to that weeklies look .
  2. Heisy
    Yea actually has the same phase that euro showed yesterday just a little sloppier. That’s our path to victory it seems, unless models start moving that ULL much farther E .
  3. Heisy
    If we want a snowstorm the cmc offers a lot better chance. GFS we have no shot with the shredder sitting over us… .
  4. Heisy
    Cmc still pretty different with its handling of the ULL near Ne in the long range .
  5. Heisy
    Not sure it was mentioned but end of 18z control didn’t have the shredder ULL sitting over us at 144 vs 12z runs. Looked like it was going to form a nice 50/50 though still Could argue for the main low to be able to come farther N .
  6. Heisy
    I know this storm isn’t really allowed to be talked about here. I do think there was another system in the 90s that had a similar weird phase like this. It’s not impossible but I’m sure we’ll see it be completely different in 12 hours. Most likely scenario is it the southern low just gets swung out to sea with the shredder sitting there .
  7. Heisy
    Yea so I don’t think it’s gonna play out how the euro just spit out. Lol. Almost looks like march 4-6 2001 type vibe with both ULLs merging, but farther South. Still, have to monitor what happens with the shredder and the main wave. Delicate balance like I said before. .
  8. Heisy
    This run is probably a 1/10000000 type progression lol. There’s no way those two waves interact like that at our latitude lol .
  9. Heisy
    Lol common… euro actually phasing both ULLs, this will get wild here… .
  10. Heisy
    Nothing can come N with that sitting there but I don’t think it’ll end up looking like that. Just personal feeling you usually don’t see ULLs that close together like that. Looks goofy .
  11. Heisy
    Euro has that ULL sitting over us, lot different than cmc which is on its own with its handling with that. Idk if any event will be able to make it up to us with that sitting there though…. .
  12. Heisy
    Not sure anything will come of it this run. A lot of the energy from our wave got left behind in the other trough still out in the PAC. Too weak this run .
  13. Heisy
    I don’t think the 12z GFS will have as strong of a shredder over us based on what I’m seeing around 132 hours .
  14. Heisy
    Fun days ahead with this omega block. Gonna see all sorts of wild runs. We have to see how strong the “shredder” ends up being. Congrats DT, Jesus Christ 2-3’ in VA it’s still snowing at the end of the run .
  15. Heisy
    One of wildest H5 runs I’ve seen in a while .
  16. Heisy
    First wave likely not going to be able to come N if that shredder ULL is there, but gfs eventually looks like this which is a terrific look .
  17. Heisy
    Hard to get anything to our latitude with these shredders, but we’ll see what happens .
  18. Heisy
    It’s on the table. Ridge position is iffy but we’ll see. I’m just in waiting mode down here in Philly. Would love a yearly chase .
  19. Heisy
    End of control, (just an extension of the OP) imo looks better for diver…. .
  20. Heisy
    Gulf of Maine, developed a little later than GFS but definitely in the same ballpark. Every winter we get a chance or 2 at something extreme happening. Most of the time something screws it up, or timing is slightly off, but it’s on the table at least on two of the global so we got a shot! .
  21. Heisy
    Wow, GFS support to a degree heh .
  22. Heisy
    Ridge placed a little E this run, this thing should still get funky though .
  23. Heisy
    Euro not as aggro as the GFS but it does have the diving shortwave, see what it does here… .
  24. Heisy
    Fun to look at for now, multiple waves diving over the ridge lots of volatility ahead .
  25. Heisy
    Yea that was close to fuel to fire. .
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