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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. It’s really remarkable the differences between euro and gfs as early as day 4, one model will cave soon. Euro and Ukie agreeing tellls me this has more credibility. Our best bet is that pac ULL retrogrades early on leaving a weak piece to head E then get trapped under the block. This is a fantasy run for sure .
  2. Euro is gonna drop like 2-3 feet On nyc this run with a classic miller B. Splits off energy in pac so weak wave rises east and then strengthens and redevelops under the block .
  3. Primary too far N, likely will destroy NE once it redevelops .
  4. Don’t think I’ve seen this big of a difference between these two models at this range in my entire life. One is obviously wrong, likely gfs since euro has support from Ukie and icon .
  5. Lol euro is in ukie camp retrograding energy back into pac, difference between euro and gfs is astronomical .
  6. It’s trying to pull a Ukie and retrograding all that energy even farther back into pac which gives us weaker wave headed east…. Difference between gfs and euro still astronomical .
  7. Euro much weaker energy heading east and still has the completely different evolution vs gfs .
  8. Let’s hope this overall look holds for 270 hours. 00z ukie barely brings any energy East, kind of looks like the icon, and results in this lol… .
  9. Need to figure out what’s causing shortwaves to continually just dump into the southwest. .
  10. GEFS making a big trend towards OP, GEFS can change on a dime with new data, but should be interesting which model suite wins the battle. .
  11. Have to imagine once gfs has enough new data ingested we’ll see that evolution shifttowards the rest of guidance. Not saying it will result in a snowstorm as we saw with cmc/euro, but at least more of a shot than a cold front lol .
  12. Yea something has to give soon…. They’re still not even in the same ballpark. A euro/cmc type evolution at least gives NW a chance depending on strength of lead wave, gfs evolution is lights out. .
  13. 18z gfs vs euro at same hour, day 5, like common….one model is going to be severely wrong .
  14. Still no cave with pac progression on GFS. Here it is vs euro at day 5…like wow what a difference… .
  15. Interaction with the lead wave and one left behind caused this thing to go N, lead wave being slightly stronger didn’t help either. The fact that it went that far N and NE still got a snowstorm says something though… first image note the spacing between the two waves out west, not good, they morph into one low(Not sure it’s helping or hurting us, but the incoming pac energy is a lot faster this run too. Might help speed it up a bit, or since we’re losing +PNA behind the event won’t allow it to dig as far S I’m just hoping for a big event to chase, think I’m Toast down here in Philly so rooting for you guys. .
  16. Ukie on side of cmc/euro etc, has weaker energy though…. Gfs will cave by tonight .
  17. Gfs vs cmc vs euro. Spot the differences (hint, look near NW US) , gfs will cave by 00z. .
  18. Yea but that type of progression with the key pieces is only way this will work. Maybe in future runs cmc has weaker energy eject east at a better latitude. It’s euro-like with main players. We could potentially work that with. GFS progression is just wildly different and has no shot at anything .
  19. CMC holds into primary too long, but overall progression of key pieces similar to euro. .
  20. Like common, lol….I expect gfs to cave eventually .
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