Heisy

Anyone know if Rob22 is still around? He used to be a mod here. Was one of my friends back in the day. We both went to the same university for op. Meteorology. @Ralph Wiggumyou remember him right? DT used to call him Rib. He is one of the original wright weather posters. I haven't seen him post in years, just hoping he's okay. He used to run the weenie of the year contest, which I of course won years ago.

Just realized the video ive seen on YouTube of someone shoveling snow off their roof was your house. I wish I was chasing back then. Couldn't imagine that much snow

How much snow for Jacksonville? Find it ironic Florida is the only state with blue

On a positive note the storm is important to the pattern regardless of whether it ends up a rain event. Helps create blocking.

Wow I actually don't recall this event at all what the heck? Anyone have any model runs or radar shots to refresh my memory?

You don't see a CCB like that too often. That is one hella nuke. Rain in the Poconos and snow in DC

6z GFS has a large closed ULL for 23rd now

Absolute bomb on 6z GFS for 22-23rd time frame. I don't have individuals but looking at EPS I'd imagine there's some support for that time frame as well...

Pretty good look for me to go on my first LES chase.

Bring it.

That's a mighty strong ULL on the long range EURO...

What's the last +12"+ December event in Philly? I feel a solid 4-8, 6-10 classic Dec 5 event this year

Can't believe we're back baby. Less than a month until Dec 1. Felt like it would never get here. Anyway, I feel a lot better going into Winters where everyone expects below average snow. It just seems like winters that are forecasted to be AN snow by the majority are always a let down. I have sneaky good vibes about this winter. No science to back it up, but I like the overall pattern at H5 right now. I think we have accumulating snow before the 10th. I'll bump this after the 00z NAM drops a foot plus in the city a month from now.

I have to renew my subscriptions, but does the 00z euro have any flakes from that day 9 event?

Not that it's worth talking about for obvious reasons but I meant the overall pattern. Of course heights are going to be higher in Nov than January or December. I just liked the block on the map. PNA ridge axis still too far west on that map, but it's close to the type of look we'd want come winter.

I'll take this look in a month or so

Nice, the warmer the forecast the colder the winter.

One of my favorite storms down here in Philly. 2000-01 was the winter I became a snow weenie (Wright-weather and TWC forums ftw!). I remember going to school in a complete down pour. Changed to snow around noon and we had 1-3” per hour snows for a few hours. Nothing better than other kids trapped on school busses while your mom picked you up early. Little did I know one of the greatest negative busts of all time would happen just a month later….

Today’s Long Range GFS kind of shows that look.

Link: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ It’s NJ focused so it might not have every event up your way, but from 93 on it’s a great resource. his site also includes radar images from those events

Famartin, Philly region met has a great resource. You can see every 95-96 storm here… here was Dec 20 95’ snowmap. He has H5 maps and everything

Welcome to Delaware Tornado-Valley

I thought this was a famous “surprise” snowstorm https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.inquirer.com/news/blizzard-presidents-day-philadelphia-washington-atlantic-city-20190218.html%3foutputType=amp Grew up in Philly, born 86, Blizzard of 83 is one I wish I got to experience first hand, any memories from that one?

NE Philly just had debris fall out of sky for a few minutes. Was like raining leafes lol. Must have been from the tornado in NJ

Classic, wth