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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    The improved N/S will help keep HP where we need it this run at least .
  2. Heisy
    Main wave a little slower hurts, but I’ll take the upgrades with the HP/confluence over shortwave which will change. If this run had a more organized shortwave like 6z would have been a monster I think. Might be a little sloppy here .
  3. Heisy
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  4. Heisy
    Much better confluence look in SE Canada let’s hope the main shortwave gets its act together in time .
  5. Heisy
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  6. Heisy
    It is crazy I don’t remember seeing a similar STJ like pattern on the models for a long time now. Sign of next winter? One can hope… .
  7. Heisy
    Seeing a better cold push on GFS, see if it leads to a similar 6z outcome .
  8. Heisy
    Not sure if anyone paying attention, but last nights euro….. .
  9. Heisy
    6z eps @ 144…. Maybe a little better left over confluence here. Gotta get this thing to take a wide SE track as possibly obviously. .
  10. Heisy
    Just the small increase of leftover confluence and better track made all the difference on the 6z GFS. I could see elevations of the southeast do better than up here in certain situations because they could take advantage of HP if it ends up moving E .
  11. Heisy
    Yea that’s not gonna work….still time to see improvements over SE Canada .
  12. Heisy
    This storm comes down to the confluence pattern, at the moment it looks more likely we won’t get a far S enough N/S push. 6z gfs improved that area and also had a perfect track. Hopes are low but not dead. There’s still some good eps members .
  13. Heisy
    Where are you located? .
  14. Heisy
    El Niño .
  15. Heisy
    18z eps/control had an better N/S push setting up at 144. I still like this setup just have to get lucky for once .
  16. Heisy
    18z Op GFs while warm is very close imo. Falls at night too, long way to go to get a little better cold. Track is almost perfect. Still interested, especially N&W .
  17. Heisy
    My friend ended up at that Motel 8 in Gardner you mentioned… only place he could find lots of places booked up or dont allow pets. Thanks for the recommendation .
  18. Heisy
    Yea just saw hah. I’ll find him an elevated spot got some people helping! .
  19. Heisy
    Oh nm they’re like a valley just was told hah .
  20. Heisy
    Battleboro VT a good spot to chase? My buddy driving through MA right now trying to pick a spot…. Here is 3km nam thru 33 .
  21. Heisy
    Euro was def a close call. If the main wave was stronger early on it probably would have been a big NW hit at least. Can see similar evolution on control, but with a stronger short wave. Setup still there. We’ll see what happens .
  22. Heisy
    Damn if I knew this I’d be on my way as well haha .
  23. Heisy
    One thing to keep an eye on during 12z runs today is to see if we can get that blocking south of Greenland to improve. 6z GFS looked decent there I think that would help keep lower heights under it to where we need it. 6z eps/control trended that way. Hopefully it can force any shortwaves south of it to strengthen confluence ahead of any wave. .
  24. Heisy
    This next potential event/pattern look El Niño like to you or any one else? Looks like a pure STJ induced event .
  25. Heisy
    Think euro is supposed to get a big upgrade again soon from what I heard on another forum .
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