If you compare euro and gfs there’s not a ton of difference. Honestly if you showed me them without reference I’d probably choose the euro as the one I’d expect to be “snowier”. Maybe it’s just the GFS sucks with thermals and is always too cold .
Meh, I’m always selling GFS temp profile. All I’m getting from this run is that it’s completely folded the stronger wave idea. Bump the snow map a good bit NW imo. Not to be deb. Just experience and blending other guidance .
I knew it in my core. Was quite surprised during the New Year’s Eve runs we got those south runs. This one is absolutely toast for I-95. These types never trend favorably for us. Not even a storm worth chasing at this stage either. Oh well, onto then next one .
What also kind of blows is we’ve trended now towards a much weaker wave. So even those who are in the all snow region aren’t looking at substantial substantial amounts. Yea 5-10” is nice, but models were throwing out 12” yesterday .
Omg is a +PNA trying to form???? Prob get some front Enders like others said. KU risk towards end of pattern change as usual. Pretty awesome look come mid month off the GEPS .
I posted days ago the shortwave reminded me over this event. We had a massive 50/50 for that one though. I have a bad feeling about 12z runs that I can’t shake :/ see what happens .
We gotta get through the cutter on the 9th, then see how far west and south the cold dumps around the 11th, but after that we should be in full tracking between 13-20th and beyond .
Off runs can be blips, and let’s hope eps is, but with how we run I fully expect 12z runs to be a disaster for 95. Would suck, but at least the pattern looks decent rest of month .