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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    00z GEFS prob more amped than 18z .
  2. Heisy
    On the bright side regarding the cmc, at least it shows this a couple days later… More potential .
  3. Heisy
    How much snow for New Orleans? .
  4. Heisy
    This will be a nailbiter, ugh, idk about this run boys, sloppier phase going on .
  5. Heisy
    Gfs has slightly stronger tpv press, my early guess would be this comes SE of 18z .
  6. Heisy
    Def some changes with the pac wave that comes on shore at 50-60 hours. See how that plays out .
  7. Heisy
    Well, the garbage Icon is similar to 12z euro, but this model blows so we’re still 0/0 in my book .
  8. Heisy
    Rgem looks decent at end of run. Let’s go boys, let’s reel it closer tonight .
  9. Heisy
    18z control bumped up a bit. This is probably what the OP would have generally shown outside 90hrs. .
  10. Heisy
    Not sure if anyone has noticed this, but it’s an important aspect that’s not settled and it’s closer to initialization than our actual storm. Check out the PNA ridge. Euro camp has a wave embedded here in the flow which actually impacts things very much. Here is 18z control vs 18z GFS. One is not like the other, and it’s not even close. Euro has a kicker, gfs does not. That’s the type of large scale feature we should see a cave from one side very soon, probably the GFS Uhhhh… .
  11. Heisy
    Look how the wave near the dakotas backed up. That would allow for more phasing once it tries to turn the corner. On top of that the tpv press isn’t as strong .
  12. Heisy
    Not a pro, but I’m a fan, think there’s better spacing with the TPV, our wave is backed up a bit, not pressing as far S. I wouldn’t guarantee it looks like GFS but I imagine it would be much better than 12z crap. Maybe like last nights 00z? We’ll see the control/eps less than an hour .
  13. Heisy
    Nice pick for an analog. 18z euro thru 75, I like how the main vort has backed up a tick .
  14. Heisy
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  15. Heisy
    It’s gonna be good .
  16. Heisy
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  17. Heisy
    GEFS is gonna be a huge move from 12z… .
  18. Heisy
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  19. Heisy
    So as things progressed, this may end up Tucking a bit more than 12z the trough axis is farther W .
  20. Heisy
    This run is gonna be big, better confluence than 6z run and the main shortwave is gonna phase properly it seems… .
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  23. Heisy
    Yea guess you’re right. I’d risk cmc inland vs this route lol .
  24. Heisy
    Called it this morning, “watch gfs be snowiest model today” Look I was rooting for a different evolution, but I’d 1000% take cmc/Ukie/gfs over this crap. Let’s see what eps does. .
  25. Heisy
    It’s also introducing a kicker wave in the NW which is no where to be found on any other model .
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