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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    What a cave job in 12 hours I do think E areas can do well if the trailer wave is strong enough to redevelop like a lot of eps members do. .
  2. Heisy
    It’s close man, gfs was the last model to finally come on board with the wave crashing on shore so it’s the weakest of them all. For fun check out end of icon near Washington state that was a beast coming on shore. Setup is there just once again see if we can finally get lucky .
  3. Heisy
    For this threat root for the energy crashing on shore to trend stronger and for the tpv to tick East which imo will trap the incoming wave under it with the established block. We gotta cash something on these two threats .
  4. Heisy
    For my own sanity I’ll move to the second threat. .
  5. Heisy
    It’s still possible it could redevelop like a lot of the eps members did but this would favor E regions up thru SNE .
  6. Heisy
    It honestly looks like the euro now, pretty similar at H5. What a cave job in 12 hours .
  7. Heisy
    Bleh, fade me crew .
  8. Heisy
    I don’t like this trend here, see what happens… .
  9. Heisy
    So the 18z icon and icon are in the camp of focusing on that first wave. They’re both too warm for us because of how far NW it is. The images below are the 12z icon, Ukie, then the 3rd one was the 00z Ukie, which was maybe the hottest H5 run we’ve had. A low developing on that wave isn’t ideal. .
  10. Heisy
    Yea there’s a bunch of members that eventually redevelop the low in a great spot for SNE. I think the 00z Ukie/6z GFS esque progressions are off the table. I’d bet good $ your region jackpots both the next 2 events. .
  11. Heisy
    Ugh, eps has them pretty disjointed. Can see our wave near Pa here. There are a bunch of members that redevelop the low on time to scrape E MD, SE pa into SNE . .
  12. Heisy
    Yea this is a setup for a classic Miller B. At least if Tuesday fails we can keep an eye on other events. .
  13. Heisy
    12z rgem vs 00z cmc last night, expect todays cmc to come back to reality from it’s crazy inland solution yesterday. I’d wager it will prob show a decent hit based on the rgem look at 84 hours .
  14. Heisy
    Rgem is in our camp as well, the euro is just wrong it has no support it’s gotta come around already lol .
  15. Heisy
    I bet we end up flirting with mix or dry slot near the cities as well by the end of this. H5 h7 track on Ukie gfs def argue for it. Ccb sets up just NW of 95 on the GFS .
  16. Heisy
    12z NAM is def in the gfs camp .
  17. Heisy
    Trying to figure out the differences on why the euro is doing what it’s doing. A big difference I’m seeing is at 300mb. There’s better separation of the jets coming on shore on the GFS Which in turn leads to this… .
  18. Heisy
    Cape you may have misread me. I was stating that the euro and GFS are still on different hemispheres. I’m not worried yet. I think most guidance leans to a GFS like solution. Unless we see some major shifts on the other models I’m fairly confident euro will come around by the end of the day .
  19. Heisy
    This is pretty major differences for 84-90hrs out. Euro is an improvement but it still wouldn’t have been close to the GFS. I think the euro will cave over the next 24 hours since most of the other data leans GFS evo side .
  20. Heisy
    Not even close in the PNA territory .
  21. Heisy
    I’m honestly shocked the euro did this again tonight after the other guidance. I don’t think I’ve ever seen this honestly .
  22. Heisy
    Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  23. Heisy
    Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  24. Heisy
    Look up .
  25. Heisy
    .
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