Heisy

Winter Club Warning .

We’re gonna have another opportunity stretch at some point, personally think it’ll be in the mid to late month range. See if the SSW helps us in anyway. Didn’t love end of eps last night, little can kick. I wouldn’t wipe out the first week of Feb yet. Let’s see how the LR looks in about a week .

The op gfs improved the long range, sped things up… let’s see if gefs follows .

Expect the weeklies to change tomorrow since the eps kind of caved to the gefs and geps today, but I saw this on the control and it reminds me a bit of current pattern .

This event kills me because i truly think we were so close to a MECS. Look at the pac piece that migrates towards the coast around 60 hours on the models, had that not existed and the ridge was able to expand or hold firm during the event I really believe something like one of those older GFS runs could have happened. We’ll have more chances in Feb. gonna try to recharge my energy over the next 2 weeks. I got sick prior to Tuesday event and I’m still not great so haven’t been able to enjoy them as much as I normally would. .

Has to do with the inverted trough there I imagine .

Am I the only one who walks there cats in the snow? Lol I’ll take pictures later .

End of Jan Mid Feb End of Feb .

Be careful that map also includes sleet. NAM has a warm layer after 1am .

Weeklies for Feb look like fun with blocking showing signs of returning and really coming back towards end of month .

Whatever happens Friday it seems like a pretty good chance winter returns 29-30th .

Look at the game being played out in the PAC with that Rex block. Shortwaves are being flipped right and left, absorbed and pushed through that before our wave hits the conus. Gonna be lots of changes up to 3 day window here each run .

Shame too because the #1 analog on cansips yesterday was blizzard of 96 lol. The setup is there it’s just some things are slightly misplaced here and there for a full phase monster. Not going to get that barring a miracle, but we can certainly do well. Wish i had the means to get to Nova Scotia for this one lol .I bet if you took the GFS run and just shifted the entire planets H5 pattern west a little bet we’d get a blizzard of 96-like solution ha

Ukie bombs in similar location to GFS It’s slightly farther E than GFs but it took a step l vs previous runs… .

#1 on the list… just gonna leave this here. Not saying that’s going to happen obviously, just pointing out the pattern is def good lol .

Booking my trip to Nova Scotia now, jesus lol .

Sorry I had to throw some DT classics in there, this is close to perfect let’s gooo! .

Wolf woof .

ALEET .

Whoa this might get close here, does it make the turn in time?! .

Diving down farther west .

Any winter with a blizzard is a good winter. I don’t care if the rest of the days are sunny and 50 degrees. Give me one blizzard and I’d be a happy man. .

6z eps control look like better phasing occurring. The problem for this event is the PNA ridge rolling over just doesn’t give this wave enough room to amplify. It’s why the GFS shoves the low SE. a modest event certainly possible though .

Nah I’m all in for second threat. If it fails I’ll delete wxbell .

Wow, this screams MECS+ for Ne, if we can back up the trough a little more we could get in on this as well .