Heisy

Game of small details…. First the major: No adjustments, Front 4 couldn’t get pressure and Gannon had no answer I like Gainwell more than Mile Sanders. Think he’s shiftier and don’t mind if Sanders is back or not. Need a power back in off season. Someone to pound the defense besides Hurts. We don’t want Hurts to get hurt and turn into a Cam Newton. Dallas Goedert had an outstanding game, but there were a couple of screen plays the team as a whole didn’t execute that could have been big gainers. Need to execute them. I’m hearing the sentiment of “it’s okay, we’ll be back”. I’m almost 40 and have learned there’s absolutely no guarantee of anything. This is probably the best eagles team of all time and we didn’t take advantage of it. In the NFL especially there are no guarantees. For example, we got a full healthy season out of AJ Brown. We may never see that again. This loss will haunt me forever until we win again. Small Details: 1) Wonder how much field conditions impacted eagles dline and ability to get pressure. 2) Hurts fumble was a killer, he got the points right back though. What stinks is that if we don’t have a false start the play before that play never happens. Chiefs couldn’t stop us, that was a 10-14 point swing. Seumalo’s false start will haunt for a long time 3) if Bradberry is wearing white gloves do refs notice the hold? (heard that pointed out this AM). Bogus call that was ticky tack. Refs really should have gotten together and picked it up. Screwed us out of all timer. 1000) I want to die .

Should be up by more. Won’t feel good about any lead vs Mahomes even if he has one leg .

GFS has the HECS day 11, but CMC also has a decent looking pattern at end of run as well… .

18z gfs vs euro at 90 Hours .

6z euro def touch slower .

I always see the control as a low resolution extension of the Euro. Don’t take it serious but it can give you an idea of where the OP might have tracked. 18z model runs have me pretty excited for 00z for maybe first time all year. This is still a thread the needle for sure, so tempering those expectations, but something to look forward to tonight. I’m a Philly eagles fan too, super bowl and a snowstorm? Please! Yes and thank you .

Here is 18z CMC is vs 12z. Yes there is a 18z cmc…. Can see it trended towards other models .

Here is 18z euro vs gfs. Can see the differences here with the NE shortwave etc. make of it what you will .

Euro 12z vs 18z. I actually like 18z a tick better. It’s farther west and better ridging in front. Also little bit more tilted negatively vs 12z All about spacing and latitude with this one. .

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We def take vs seeing this run go farther S/weaker, that’s for sure. .

Type of system you see in late March/Early April. Gotta be lucky and get under the best CCB band. Best shot up towards mountains and high elevations of VA right now I’d guess. There were some EPS members that had this type of solution. Snow fall output from this run does mimic eps placement to a degree, we also saw ukie bring it up the coast. .

Kind of does a Ukie track. It’s all rain though, not that I’d care about thermals on a Nogaps hah. Where’s Ralph with the CRASS .

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That’s to be expected since all the 12z models now have the closed low…unfortunately problem is latitude and progressive flow. .

12z rgem trended towards nam/gfs at H5 .

12z NAM looks good again at end of run. Means nothing, but we take .

Here’s a better look at 6z eps .

From a met on our Philly board, gfs sometimes thinks its 6 hour forecast guess is better than observations. Usually a good 24 hours to flush it out. Still there by 18z today then maybe we got something…. Fun tidbit, think we would have been NAMed at 6z lol, energy looks strong enough where it would have redeveloped fwiw. Nice uptick 6z eps, still not a ton of support, but step in right direction .

Difference between GFS vs Euro same hour…. Can see wouldn’t take a whole lot for euro to look like GFS, but same goes for other way around .

Ukie closes off the ULL well behind the lead front. Is well S though and only shows in the apps….still lends some credit towards a possible GFS solution. We would need to thread the needle here almost perfectly… Actually more favorable in S mid Atlantic on GEFS (remember factor in potential surface temps here) .

CMC almost tries to pull same thing but ULL can’t get going and trough is a little too progressive. Icon has a gfs progression, but doesn’t have nearly enough juice with left over energy. Let’s get some support from ukie or euro tonight .

SSW reaction puts us around mid March for affects. So probably see some blocking potentially show up around then. Also, for this next potential event I put it at like 1% happening. Need the perfect thread the needle with a bombing low getting cutoff from the flow because the airmass is such garbage. It will at least keep my interest during 00z There were maybe 3-4 eps members that had some snow for us. .

This being said I’m not getting even a little bit excited unless we see 2-3 runs in a row and some other support. .

I wouldn’t have expected every ensemble member to jump on this solution. There are def a few that have a similar progression though and I’d say the mean at least trended towards stretching the trough out and allowing a potential new low to form at base. Long shot but only thing worth tracking it seems for a while so… .