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Heisy

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  1. Heisy
    Look at difference between euro and gfs with the ridge. GFS’s poleward ridge would actually result in shortwaves diving SE towards NE which would mute any warm up in early Feb. it’s probably wrong though…. Regardless, Im personally jacked up for 2nd half of Feb into first week of March. I’ll die on that cliff .
  2. Heisy
    It’s been the same progression run after run now. We just have to hope once we get in range to the main ensembles they do the same. We from this…. Which is what end of ensembles look currently, to (second image) few days later. .
  3. Heisy
    Talk about a jump… 00z vs 12z lol .
  4. Heisy
    EPS following the OP.. .
  5. Heisy
    N/S builds in HP eventually. This run sped southern stream up (because it was also stronger and more aggressive) .
  6. Heisy
    Eek, maybe too wrapped up ha .
  7. Heisy
    Gotta see if the N/S can dive down to play a role here or it’ll be too wrapped up .
  8. Heisy
    Incoming This might be an interior hit .
  9. Heisy
    End of cmc ensembles. Ridge has rolled through and poleward, we’re building in the right places here and getting ready to rock and roll imo .
  10. Heisy
    A lot comes down to that N/S piece up in Canada. Euro rides that more W to E. GFS dives it farther SE which kind of pushes low farther SE. Tentative balance .
  11. Heisy
    End of the 6z control eps, this is probably a big interior hit. There were some big hits on the 00z eps for interior. You have that piece diving down from Canada which should keep the main low far enough S to not run too far inland. Timing of the waves is important here. Interest peeked for 12z, I could use a chase. Posting control because it’s pretty much the OP extrapolated .
  12. Heisy
    Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days .
  13. Heisy
    Look at the end of the eps and other ensembles and roll that forward. Everything looks in line with the weeklies progression. Heck NYC may even get snow next Monday hah. Once we get to Feb 4-6 we’ll see a solid pattern on the LR ensembles for around mid month, we’ll be tracking something soon. Just gotta get through next 15-18 days .
  14. Heisy
    We never do, lol. Wouldn’t get my hopes up for this one. It’s not impossible to see some flakes though especially interior. Rocking Feb incoming though let’s do that. .
  15. Heisy
    The weekend event is a thread the needle but not impossible. There’s a N/S wave that dives SE across Canada. How that is timed with the southern wave etc will determine what happens. Euro actually brings the N/S piece out ahead which built in some HP and is why it showed a snow event for NYC etc. would really need a perfect timed scenario idk. Can see the two pieces of energy here, our main shortwave and the one in SE Canada .
  16. Heisy
    Wxusaf, 12z OP GFS has the progression you pointed out. It’s also been on the weeklies too. The ridge migrates east and then eventually into the right places. We will torch a few days between now and then but whatever. Roll second image up in time we probably have a decent pattern .
  17. Heisy
    Just for fun. A last second shortwave dives out of Canada and builds HP behind it Kaboom .
  18. Heisy
    You missed my point then. It was a “we’re kind of screwed” post. There’s still no reason we can’t rebuild a pattern by end of Feb into march though. .
  19. Heisy
    Blizzard of 2/24/24 has a nice ring to it. Patience required .
  20. Heisy
    Patience required…. Check back in after 2 weeks imo. This event today made me even hungrier for the big dog. One day… .
  21. Heisy
    Yea, as long as it comes idc. Just want one major event .
  22. Heisy
    Last nights eps was not kind to the eyes .
  23. Heisy
    Didn’t I tell you earlier today? Dc/Balt would beat Philly. Enjoy it! Someone in MD will get 6+ .
  24. Heisy
    Yep, and I think they’re wrong. I think just like the last event your NWS will be playing catch-up. Ours will bust high except maybe S NJ or C DE .
  25. Heisy
    I think DC region beats Philly on this one too based on latest model trends .
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