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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    First wave likely not going to be able to come N if that shredder ULL is there, but gfs eventually looks like this which is a terrific look .
  2. Heisy
    Hard to get anything to our latitude with these shredders, but we’ll see what happens .
  3. Heisy
    It’s on the table. Ridge position is iffy but we’ll see. I’m just in waiting mode down here in Philly. Would love a yearly chase .
  4. Heisy
    End of control, (just an extension of the OP) imo looks better for diver…. .
  5. Heisy
    Gulf of Maine, developed a little later than GFS but definitely in the same ballpark. Every winter we get a chance or 2 at something extreme happening. Most of the time something screws it up, or timing is slightly off, but it’s on the table at least on two of the global so we got a shot! .
  6. Heisy
    Wow, GFS support to a degree heh .
  7. Heisy
    Ridge placed a little E this run, this thing should still get funky though .
  8. Heisy
    Euro not as aggro as the GFS but it does have the diving shortwave, see what it does here… .
  9. Heisy
    Fun to look at for now, multiple waves diving over the ridge lots of volatility ahead .
  10. Heisy
    Yea that was close to fuel to fire. .
  11. Heisy
    Thought #2 would interest you guys .
  12. Heisy
    Pretty wild pattern. Curious how it plays out once we get closer .
  13. Heisy
    Gfs is falling in love with this N/S diver…. See if it spins anything up .
  14. Heisy
    End of 18z GEFS still following weeklies pretty closely… We take .
  15. Heisy
    I mean the weeklies are about as perfect as you could ask for lol. It starts with the split flow pattern we see at the end of the 12z eps today and it’s literally deep winter thru the end of the run. Pretty sick. Really hope it’s even close to right we’ll end the season above average if so no doubt .
  16. Heisy
    We’re a long way out, but Feb 8-10 has a threat in it similarly to how the control did it. Split flow the STJ is going to undercut the central conus/Canada ridge. 12z GFS had a similar evolution a few days later. We can def score in this type of pattern. Would be a great sign if we do! .
  17. Heisy
    There’s also a second event towards day 10. N/S clipper like diver. Gfs has been on this a few runs now. Euro had it last night. 12z euro has this wave as well… see what it does with it .
  18. Heisy
    The compressed heights from the N/S slows down the main trough forces slower development. Cmc and icon were in general agree. This could also be the euro going crazy with the ccb aspect, but certainly the trend we want to see .
  19. Heisy
    If you look at the ensemble members there have been members that had this solution. It’s definitely on the table. .
  20. Heisy
    12z euro coming in with even lower heughts out ahead of the low… .
  21. Heisy
    Hey ant, definitely could be NYCs largest event of the year if things break right. Looks like a sloppy event with borderline temps. Cmc has been near the top of verification skills lately so don’t doubt it too much. PS, Like the Philly sub here, didn’t most NYC posters migrate to another forum? .
  22. Heisy
    Things still on track today. Pattern chasing is boring but it’s all we got. -EPO signal .
  23. Heisy
    Yea definitely a positive to see that regardless of the range. It’s also good to see the OP forming that -epo ridge just like the weeklies .
  24. Heisy
    Op generally looks like ensembles now. The question happens few days after this time period. Does -epo pop, does the ridge heights migrate to AO territory etc. it’s what the weeklies do so that’s the hope .
  25. Heisy
    OP gfs has a poleward ridge day 7 which ends up muting the warm up because shortwaves keep shooting down towards NE. Its own ensembles don’t really have that (they have a ridge but not as far N) and euro camp doesn’t so I’d be careful with rushing things. Maybe the first week of Feb isn’t as warm as we think, but we’ll see… .
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