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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Euro obv trending right direction, lot flatter vs 00z wrapped up solution .
  2. Heisy
    I cancelled wxbell, I thought the euro looked like it was primed to give an interior event at 240…. Can you post the h5 from control? .
  3. Heisy
    I’m just curious, did the 12z Ukie do anything with that wave beyond 144 hours? I know you have SV. It was pretty positively tilted. .
  4. Heisy
    P27 drops 4 feet so it might be skewing the mean lmao .
  5. Heisy
    I’d like to figure out how those 3 ensemble members did what they did. I imagine they string out the trough and slow down the bottom half. So you’re telling me there’s a chance? .
  6. Heisy
    End of 00z control starts to give us some blocking around the 8th. You can see how this could lead to a workable pattern by mid month or so. By then we’ll likely have had a few 60-70 degree days so people might be checked out, but I still wonder if we have 1 last miracle shot come mid month with the SSW etc End of EPS starting to move the heights towards Greenland. The weeklies give us a workable pattern once that trough out west finally heads east, we’ll see about that… .
  7. Heisy
    Gfs has a goofy anafrontal wave around March 1-3. Hits NE good, it’s one way to score a miracle in a crap pattern though lol .
  8. Heisy
    You think the SSW does anything for us in March? .
  9. Heisy
    SSW magic still on the table, will be interesting see if see any changes in the LR with Atlantic blocking. I’m no expert in the Strat that’s for sure but it can’t hurt. 3 week lag time or so takes us to like end of first week of March .
  10. Heisy
    Weeklies get us into a favorable look 3/12 onward but they seem to be defaulting to that look a lot so hard to have any hope especially at that date. Who knows .
  11. Heisy
    GFS likely a bogus solution. Not much support for that at all. It’s just so much different with the tpv. Sometimes one run of the GFS can take few runs to initialize out. That diving N/S lobe isn’t close to doing that on any other model. I imagine by 18z it won’t exist. Hope I’m wrong though. I plan to chase this wave if it somehow does develop into something big .
  12. Heisy
    Icon developed too late but in line with what we’d want to see just farther SE development if possible .
  13. Heisy
    There is better separation with southern wave so idk. You’re probably right though. Hard to say. This definitely all favors NE of course. I might decide to chase it if it becomes a big event. Haven’t gone anywhere this year yet .
  14. Heisy
    No icon posts? This was a good sign Little later phase and boom .
  15. Heisy
    .
  16. Heisy
    Can tell early on the 00z GFS will drop that N/S lobe S again. Not as crazy as 12z, better than 18z .
  17. Heisy
    Make of it what you want. Tough to call .
  18. Heisy
    Helmet and knee pads as usual. We need the ocean storm to bomb out ahead of it, force the main low farther S .
  19. Heisy
    For weeks I’ve mentioned 2/24/24 sounded great, well it’s a day early but we’ll take it. Careful though could just be the medium/long range euro going bonkers as usual .
  20. Heisy
    Little interesting here .
  21. Heisy
    End of the 6z control looked better for the setup leading into the 22-24 event. See if anything pops on 12z runs .
  22. Heisy
    You meant that in a positive tone right cause they don’t look too bad. I still would keep an eye on 2/23-24, we need some big changes though. .
  23. Heisy
    Icon-Ukie-euro is a killer combo these days. Ignore the crap GFS. .
  24. Heisy
    I think we’ll see some 15:1 maybe even higher ratios on the N side of this thing, 6+ near the md/pa border seems possible imo .
  25. Heisy
    Actually the wave is backed up a bit this prob comes in juicier .
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