Jump to content

Heisy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,030

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Right, but as cape just alluded this overall setup favors NE. We’ll see how it goes, just making an observation .
  2. Heisy
    Euro AI was more of a late blooming miller B. 18z gfs likely a step towards a more realistic solution like that. The 12z H5 run as absurd. 1/10000 type look. It’s a Miller b setup, we know how these go… .
  3. Heisy
    So there’s two waves, one on the 18-19th and then the follow up wave (the one the GFS blew up today and yesterday). We need spacing issues to resolve and models to really key on that second wave. Over the next 2 days I’d really like to see some other models jump on wave 2 idea. .
  4. Heisy
    I’m personally meh. Not to sound all negative, but we got teased in the 10+ day LR all year the past 2-3 years. 00z took a baby step backward. When I see progress under 10 days I’ll get excited. The snow means on the ensembles are garbage as well. 1” mean thru 360 hours here in Philly from the 00z eps pretty much sums up what to expect over the next 15 days. December 2024 is toast imo. January could offer some hope though.
  5. Heisy
    The 18z gfs run from yesterday was the evolution I was hoping the models would morph into. That basically lagged the main shortwave behind the front and it redeveloped. Of course the models went away from that idea overnight…. The depiction on the 18z euro isn’t ideal. Maybe we’d get some post frontal snow but there’s nothing out ahead of the low to knock temps down. .
  6. Heisy
    Quick nostalgia… My greatest memory of a snowstorm run up was the march 4-6 2001 debacle. Yeah it was a bust but those model runs and you and Nor’easter posting about it were what weenie dreams were made of. I remember texting you on AIM the morning of the December 30 2000 bust Feels like it’s been ages since we had an event get better from day 7-9 inward. I guess because it has been .
  7. Heisy
    Here is 6z gfs from last night vs tonight’s 00z run. We lost the really good 50/50 .
  8. Heisy
    It does look like it wants to bring out the Baja low but idk if it will have enough juice from the N/S to create a strong enough low. .
  9. Heisy
    CMC looks somewhat intriguing at 144 hours see if it can produce anything though .
  10. Heisy
    Not loving what I see on the GFS through 135, less energy diving down from N/S and Baja energy seems weaker more positively tilted. .
  11. Heisy
    We’re getting closer. .
  12. Heisy
    The one in 2011 I was in my car as well. Sitting at a light and it started to rock like a gust of wind blew it. Same sensation you had. .
  13. Heisy
    I live right next to a train track, thought it was the train at first it definitely had that same roar to it .
  14. Heisy
    My house shook I live just outside Philly that was wild .
  15. Heisy
    My house shook i thought it was the train since I live next to the tracks .
  16. Heisy
    My buddy is at fox ridge resort in North Conway. Any reports out that way for totals, he hasn’t gotten back to me just curious .
  17. Heisy
    Late last night driving home from work there was definitely some snow mixed in, or super cooled rain droplets. You could see the ice particles on the windshield when the droplets hit. Win I suppose? Lol .
  18. Heisy
    My friend drove all the way up to North Conway for this one. .
  19. Heisy
    Friend of mine drove up to North Conway for this. He’s at Fox Ridge resort prob around 550 elevation. Decent spot? Haven’t been in the loop for this one. .
  20. Heisy
    Even if it’s a rainstorm it’s still a pretty interesting test for this model. It’s been showing a large system at this range for few runs now .
  21. Heisy
    Meh second glance there’s no cold air really so would need a miracle track .
  22. Heisy
    Ah I see thanks. Not a bad setup, ha, would need that 50/50 a little farther S. I’m still checking in here and there .
  23. Heisy
    I’m out of the loop, does the OP euro not exist anymore? Pivotal only has this new version, check this H5 look it has for 6z run .
  24. Heisy
    Cape any snow on the GEFS? I deleted wxbell. Soothe my addiction a bit lol. If we somehow get a threat I’ll reup. .
  25. Heisy
    Right lol. That tpv wave that slides out ahead of the main trough is key. .
×
×
  • Create New...