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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    GFS has an anafrontal wave similar to 12z but better, hard to buy it though… .
  2. Heisy
    Yea I know, this blows. Seems whatever can go wrong will go wrong this year. .
  3. Heisy
    .
  4. Heisy
    18z GFS vs euro at same hour Big differences in its handling with the N/S vort. GFS would be a bust for the Catskills, due to the later pull back of the STJ vort W Ma S VT in prime spot .
  5. Heisy
    Right at the 84-96 hour range was when the euro finally adjusted N with precip for this current event. 12z on the 7th was last run that shunting the precip S/E and the next 00z run brought it N again. We are right in the range now, not feeling great that we saw the shift today. .
  6. Heisy
    Group chase? After a POS winter like this man I’m like 90% sure I’m headed up to the skills’. .
  7. Heisy
    Looks more like ukie, good for nyc region I’d imagine .
  8. Heisy
    Is that basically the control run? .
  9. Heisy
    MJO what is the euro para? I don’t subscribe to stormvista, is it basically the euro run out beyond 90 hours? I thought the OP looked better at 90 .
  10. Heisy
    18z euro vs 12z, make of it what you will. .
  11. Heisy
    18z icon with a big shift SE more towards euro evolution .
  12. Heisy
    Haha, not sold yet. Little interesting Ukie has a similar evolution, but like you said all of us should have learned our lesson by now after this year. Not buying until we see it shown 2+ runs in a row .
  13. Heisy
    12z euro looks like Ukie at H5, even gets Philly in action. Poconos thru S NY demolished. I’d def chase personally if something like this happens…. Euro is phasing the two streams in the LR so no chance for anything but rain I’d guess… .
  14. Heisy
    Similar to the ukie to a degree with the wide pass of the STJ vort that kind of drags the primary vort farther SE. euro even gets me in action down here just outside Philly which is what Ukie did too. .
  15. Heisy
    The STJ vort is farther SE and kind of pulls the primary ULL farther S, if we can get that even farther SE were in even better business…. .
  16. Heisy
    Wow 12z euro just came in like the Ukie to a degree at H5, big hit around the area .
  17. Heisy
    Pattern isn’t terrible, but we have to get rid of these ULLs in the Midwest through confluence or even better +PNA response idk….Ensembles favorite lakes and interior again for this time period because of this. Frustrating… .
  18. Heisy
    12z gfs has Northern stream racing ahead around day 7 supplying confluence with southern vort still in the southwest. .
  19. Heisy
    2014 or 2015 (forget the exact year) had a solid March anafrontal snowstorm up here in Philly. I forget if it impacted you guys. However, you know winter is just about over when this discussion starts lol. .
  20. Heisy
    Just for fun since there isn’t much else to discuss, the 6z GFS is a little faster N/S away from an anafrontal snowstorm. That’s what this run does but for farther N/W. Can see the stretched out LP. That being said this is the GFS beyond 7 days and the EURO looks entirely since it phases those streams much earlier….sure it’ll look completely different in 2 hours .
  21. Heisy
    Edit: woops didn’t refresh and see that others had mentioned it. .
  22. Heisy
    You can see the primary hanging on longer with the farther N pass of that vort on that map too. That’s what I maeant with BL temp issues near the coast this run. It’s one run though, see what tonight and tomorrow bring. I’m just hoping for a chase worthy event .
  23. Heisy
    That’s what I meant, I trust Will, just not sure I see it the same way. It’s still a good run for a lot of people but SE? .
  24. Heisy
    I’m confused though here the comparison, not ridiculing just asking…
  25. Heisy
    Yea but I think since then Northern Vort doesn’t dive as far S it’s warmer in the BL idk hard to say because the snow mean ticked farther N .
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