So I’ve finally checked out lol, but it’s really amazing to me how the pattern of waves tracking from around Alaska down to the Southwest continues until the end of month and shows no signs of stopping. What is it going to take to get a stable +PNA? Here is the 12z euro at the end of the run. Does this pattern look familiar to anyone?!?! A developing block, but we have a SE ridge bridge connecting to it. An overly strong wave coming out of the southwest and seemingly another ready to head that way too. Feel like we’re stuck in purgatory. We’ve been unable to mute the SE ridge all year. .
That 27/28 system could be interesting if it gets stuck under that little mini block that forms. 6z eps trended stronger with the wave out west at 144. 6z GFS/00z Canadian def blew it up. Could be a mirage though we’ll see .
Euro could follow gfs path here…. We’d have to time the shortwave perfectly and that system near Ne/Lakes would have to turn into a pretty strong 50/50 .
We’re in Lala land for this threat but I’m shitting the blinds until all events or chase events are 100% out the window haha I haven’t seen an inch of snow here outside Philly, brutal .
Pretty big signal for a storm around 28th. Depends on TPV position and the storm ahead of it. Signal is there big time for the interior though… Control in here for entertainment purposes only .
Also, what is it going to take to get a +PNA? That’s our culprit. Wave after wave for essentially 2 winters have just crashed into the west coast. .check out the 6z GFS, the entire is just -PNA death
That wave end of run was going to be a slow march roller, blocking is setup, that storm was in the midst of bombing. The 12z control is pure porno for New England and interior, wave after wave being forced just far enough under the block .
Congrats to those who cashed in. I enjoyed watching from the side lines. Down here in snow helladelphia we have 0 snow for the season. Maybe a trace but does that really count? This is the first time in my life that I’ve gone an entire year without seeing an inch of snow since 0 chases this year. Life happens. You bet I’ll be going whenever, wherever next year! .
Here is 6z vs 00z, note the faster energy out west. This trend was similar across other guidance as well…Good news is we’re still far enough out to see changes. .
Exactly. Last nights more SE runs were partly a result from the PAC wave behind ours speeding up. This speeds up our waveand doesn’t give it space to amplify. Still have a shot, but for snow near the cities we need a very strong low. Night Time helps too. Just another way we may end up failing this year…. .
Would you rather it be a cutter? Every event at this range has been shown as basically a cutter on the euro so I still take, trended better with N/S. One downside of some of the 00z runs was the energy behind our wave could act as a kicker. We’ll see what EPS shows. .