Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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The 6z euro slowed down the shortwave behind the cold front. Euro Ai looks pretty similar at 144 and that spacing helped give us a decent scraper. Here was the Ai trend at H5 .
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Better positioned short wave, it slowed it down like the OP was going for at 144… .
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6z euro Ai looks decent, I’d take it, it looks like the OP at 144 so safe to assume OP probably would have had something similar .
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As always, GFS will be last to figure things out. I thought the 6z euro spaced the wave out better to allow for something to develop. Tough to say for sure though. Euro Ai continues to stay consistent. .
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Looks like a solid 3-6” event on that run. Shortwave sharpened. .
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Once it’s inside 6 days lol. That run was a few ticks away from burying us with two events. All you can ask for is a chance. Most guidance is farther SE than the GFS showing for the 20th. .
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Gotta love the GFS form a potential big one same time period that Euro had it today. .
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CMC and gfs well apart with the progression of things .
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20th time frame is gaining more steam. I thought initially we’d be delayed a few days to wait for the cold air, but the ridge out west has trended East, and things have sped up a bit. .
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6z euro Ai sort of looks like the 6z GFS Light to moderate snow event for the 20th cities N&W .
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Can see why here, lot of members must be separating the waves, leaving energy behind like cmc… .
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Yeah it’s not a suppression issue it’s a spacing issue on the gfs, but like you said we’re way out in time currently for the potential time period. .
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So the progression of things is starting to become more clear. Northern stream is cooperating. However, the wave (in my gif) here on the GFS near 4 corners we need it to be stronger and a bit slower than 18z is showing. Future runs root for more of a cmc type with that wave .
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Oh it’s actually decent, it just didn’t have as strong of a wave out west. Looks like it still skims us at least. .
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Bad spacing? Guess I’ll find out in an hour on wxbell .
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This one’s for Ji, end of JMA, looks good with the cold front pushing east and a lot of energy load up out west. .
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Looks like euro trapped energy out west, but still close enough, we track .
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Yea it’s a lighter side hit, but if all the energy had come East, would have been like the cmc. It was close enough anyway at this range. We take for now .
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Looks like some energy got pinched off in the Southwest flow got ahead of it .
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You have SV eh, what’s it do?! .
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Let’s see if we can get separation with the trailer wave .
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@mitchnick Euro looking very similar to the cmc so far .
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12z GEFS trend, can tell it’s moving towards leaving energy behind the front. Solid step .
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It’s getting colder as the storm is progressing since the HP is building in as the storm commences .
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Big hit, the good news I take from both of these runs is they are very similar to the euro AI progression .
