Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Pretty significant changes at end of 18z euro. That wave out west is jacked, but the N/S is the wildcard here I suppose .
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Yep, euro and Ai very close, temp issues coastal plain likely, but if we can get a really intense storm at our latitude we could make it work, especially you guys. Tougher here down in Philly. The GEFs looks like the euro Ais snow map, so most likely GFS out to lunch. I like this as a classic March N&W paste bomb if it can come together .
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Brooklyn euro def has a strong wave in the southwest… .
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Snow mean focused basically where the 6z Ai had it. Probably need a perfect wave pass or a better cold push from the first wave for cities, but we’ll see as we get closer. Euro time .
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GEFS showing the split flow and the short wave associated with the low we’re tracking OP was a disaster but it was way too slow with the shortwave vs euro camp so probably wrong Here is GEFs vs euro Ai, it’s smoothed out but you get the idea .
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Here is the H5 leading in. Pretty sexy, wish we could have gotten this a few weeks ago though .
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6z Ai, touch too tucked but on board for a major event for that 9th window. .
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6z euro Ai now on board for a major storm but it’s too warm, the lead wave doesn’t quite get us cold enough. If that happened I’d probably drive somewhere though at least .
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There’s more N members than south, but a general increase in storms because it had a better evolution can see it here .
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No one is saying it will or won’t happen, the idea is models picking up on a viable pattern that could support a snow event. Anything prior to that is impossible based on the pattern so there isn’t much else to look forward unless you like to talk about sprouting daffodils .
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GEFs just lit up .
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18z GFS had the wave now. .
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Ah I see damn, least it wasn’t terribly far off leading up to that. .
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And it’s either this or talk about spring weather. I just want Mitch to tell me that the 12z Ai is a hit .
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If there was any type of blocking to slow that wave down on the 12z euro that would have been an epic run. As is hopefully we can just get break and time the wave properly etc .
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Yeah I mean who knows it probably won’t happen, but it’s the only thing worth talking about if you want snow around these parts. There’s no other wave that has a chance with the advertised pattern .
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It’s starting to show up just a touch on the EPS .
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Capes been mentioning how we likely need to time a wave after a wave. The euro just about does that. Need to ignore specific details. Yeah it’s far out, but hopefully we can keep that general idea alive inside 10 days. I saw the 6z Mitch if you compare it to the OP it left the southern energy behind. Not worth worrying at this range, but I still believe this is the last shot .
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Really close though, temps were fine it just missed the phase .
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It actually comes pretty close, almost missed a perfect phase As is gives snow to the southeast lol .
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There’s our last hope out west Mitch .
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Last nights Euro just missed a snowstorm for the 9th. Not sure what Ai showed it still isn’t up on wxbell .
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So this was the 12z euro. It had this look…. It lead to this low. Surface temps would have been fine if it was closer, just pointing out fwiw .
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I mean that’s been the window I’ve been focused on. Like all snow said it isn’t coming out on wxbell so I can’t see how it gets there. .
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There’s still one last window around the 8th, but when that most likely fails it’s over. Weird winter, decent patterns that didn’t produce. .
