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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    GFS likely a bogus solution. Not much support for that at all. It’s just so much different with the tpv. Sometimes one run of the GFS can take few runs to initialize out. That diving N/S lobe isn’t close to doing that on any other model. I imagine by 18z it won’t exist. Hope I’m wrong though. I plan to chase this wave if it somehow does develop into something big .
  2. Heisy
    Icon developed too late but in line with what we’d want to see just farther SE development if possible .
  3. Heisy
    There is better separation with southern wave so idk. You’re probably right though. Hard to say. This definitely all favors NE of course. I might decide to chase it if it becomes a big event. Haven’t gone anywhere this year yet .
  4. Heisy
    No icon posts? This was a good sign Little later phase and boom .
  5. Heisy
    .
  6. Heisy
    Can tell early on the 00z GFS will drop that N/S lobe S again. Not as crazy as 12z, better than 18z .
  7. Heisy
    Make of it what you want. Tough to call .
  8. Heisy
    Helmet and knee pads as usual. We need the ocean storm to bomb out ahead of it, force the main low farther S .
  9. Heisy
    For weeks I’ve mentioned 2/24/24 sounded great, well it’s a day early but we’ll take it. Careful though could just be the medium/long range euro going bonkers as usual .
  10. Heisy
    Little interesting here .
  11. Heisy
    End of the 6z control looked better for the setup leading into the 22-24 event. See if anything pops on 12z runs .
  12. Heisy
    You meant that in a positive tone right cause they don’t look too bad. I still would keep an eye on 2/23-24, we need some big changes though. .
  13. Heisy
    Icon-Ukie-euro is a killer combo these days. Ignore the crap GFS. .
  14. Heisy
    I think we’ll see some 15:1 maybe even higher ratios on the N side of this thing, 6+ near the md/pa border seems possible imo .
  15. Heisy
    Actually the wave is backed up a bit this prob comes in juicier .
  16. Heisy
    Think there’s any chance SSW gives us some hope for Smarch? .
  17. Heisy
    Until the Ukie comes on board nothing else matters .
  18. Heisy
    Pivot looks great for us 4+ easily .
  19. Heisy
    Yea N if the city NE through NYC region jackpot Whoever stays in that pivot region basically. That band is 1-2” hr stuff here currently Bensalem .
  20. Heisy
    6z euro has that awesome pivot ccb band over just NE of Philly into NYC. Someone in that is gonna jackpot imo .
  21. Heisy
    Imagine the NWS offices in my region. I live in Bensalem just NE of Philly. I have no clue what to expect here. Wild models .
  22. Heisy
    Hrrr always counts mix as snow accumulation, so cut some off near city for sure, but that run legit crushed our region. That’s def a max potential map .
  23. Heisy
    .
  24. Heisy
    Was gonna post this earlier, I’ve been around 30 years. This is in the top 3 of the craziest model trends at this range. Behind Boxing Day and Jan 2000 .
  25. Heisy
    Yeah after I get some slop tomorrow morning I’m probably checking out myself unless something really pops. Pattern isn’t bad but we can’t seem to time anything up. Just making me frustrated so I’ll track from a distance Good luck rest of year…. Cya at 00z .
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