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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Impressively early. There’s just too much model agreement on the large scale features to not dO it.
  2. Where’s Ji with the JMA because it is the most south of any model looks like lol
  3. This is on a lot of guidance. Think it has to do with how the ULLs are being stacked. Looking like a less beefy 2016 here in Philly where we get some snow and then the deformation zone heads NW
  4. Yeah ukie barely has an inch in philly so you get the idea
  5. I’ll take that bet . GFS will most likely play catch up the entire event.
  6. How many times does the gfs do this in big storms. It’ll catch up with other models eventually. You guys are fine up there. Eps destroys the GFS with QPF at least down here in Philly. I’m probably headed to Allentown or something.
  7. Anyone in the far Burbs got a place I could come stay at and chase?!
  8. The Canadian and rgem have been steadfast on that.
  9. Yeah I know i was being sarcastic, and I’m in like 3 hour sleep. Will be interesting where the Max snowfall radius on the models moves. Curious if Boston does better than places like NE Pa when all is said and done. Lots of those tucked members are worrisome
  10. Ugh, I like New England, but you guys really gonna make me drive 7 hours again? Thanks aholes
  11. Man a lot of those EPS lows are way too tucked in for my liking. We need that trend to stop immediately
  12. Yep. Climo for the city will be like 6-10” then mix. Someone NW of the city will see 2 feet minimum. Two runs in a row the euro has this crazy pivot precip shield. Those are signs of the big ones. This is an interior Pa jackpot storm, but I hope I’m wrong and we see SE trend today.
  13. Down here in Philly this is looking more typical. A lot of these big ones we max out around 8-10” and then mix/dry slot. I really don’t want to chase, but once we get closer I might have to if some of these crazy totals continue being shown.
  14. You guys recall any winters that had big mid December storms that didn’t end up being great seasons?
  15. Yeah i feel like if this was 2010 we’d be counting the inches already. It’s hard to not look at the negatives, but when you take a step back we can’t ask for much more. Now I’m going to be pulling 4 hour sleep for a week and then sleep through the storm like I always do
  16. Idk at H5 height lines seemed farther N. Sorry I’m just trying to nitpick anything that could go wrong loo
  17. Yeah but confluence was worst ironically. Kind of worried if the gfs didn’t string it out would have tracked farther NW. If that idea holds might not bode well
  18. Yeah we have a good shot for sure, but gun to my head id rather be like NW NJ or poconos right now.
  19. Yeah I think we got our best shot in 2 years for 6+, but we’ll see...all of a sudden Monday is trending snowier and snowier even maybe into the city as well.
  20. My kind of weenie. I’m already trying to figure out a way to get out of work midweek if I have to travel to poconos from Philly or something
  21. Well I think it’s also the timing of the northern branch too
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