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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Love the EPSlook New Year’s Eve/Day. Notice the cad signature on the eps this far out at 234-240 hours
  2. Yeah that actually should perk up southeast forum interests. Kind of have a detached southern branch with plenty of cold air
  3. More interested in the second event after Xmas. Don’t like where the HP is setup for the first redeveloping clipper
  4. For coastal plain I’d be more interested in the second wave length event. I think the redeveloping clipper could change to snow for nyc if you get a closed ULL at the right spot, but the hp source is better after
  5. I mean let’s be honest. Yoos guys have a similar climate to Georgia. I was trying to be more relatable haha. I don’t think I’ve ever used y’all in real life. Anyone know what time that new 12z jawn runs?
  6. Not sure if it was mentioned, but the cmc did have a nice cold sourced HP with a 50/50 at the end of its run too. We just would prefer that incoming southwest energy to be a little less intense as it crosses the conus.
  7. Y’all are setting yourselves up for failure comparing everything to 96. That was a great 6z run on the gfs. Probably the best look yet for dc/philly. Kind of want the first post Christmas storm to blow up now. Even if it’s rain could serve as 50/50. The storminess is relentless it seems and we have blocking. There’s just no way we don’t cash eventually (we’ll I guess there is lol), but it could be 10000x worst.
  8. I don’t think anyone trusts them. This is the hobby. We track future storms. We root on the most destructive and intense solution, and on the side we root on post frontal snow showers haha. Anyone who has been in this hobby long enough knows the gfs has too much qpf in cold sector with fronts like this. It’s always too cold, but it’s fun. What’s the big deal?
  9. I forget how you change it. Do you have to pm the mods or is it in settings?!
  10. I’m feeling it. I don’t love the pac, but it’s got a shot. We keep getting blocking to show up like this we’ll produce eventually. I may be from Philly but when you guys do well I do well. Only difference is I’ll chase a storm so I tend to just root for extreme scenarios haha
  11. Yeah with this setup not happening. Gfs likes to put too much qpf in the cold sector with fronts like this. No way.... In other news still a bit of a signal for that post Xmas system. That’s 3 runs in a row on the gfs showing a deepening low off the EC
  12. Psu you’re spot on there. DT sometimes lags behind a few model runs lol. The potential is still there though. The 18z gfs post Xmas storm is an interesting one. the wave kind of doesn’t know what to do. It’s got stout blocking up top but a very progressive flow. It stays open for so long before finally closing. The signal is real though
  13. What a wild H5 solution shown on the 18z pos gfs. Tbh there could be a signal for some kind of closed off low.. like a battle between the pac and blocking
  14. Euro is a close call evolution for the wave after Xmas. Tries to run a wave into the lakes but gets shoved east and closes off. Big dump for interior. Bombs too late. Very convoluted look at end of run
  15. Both gfs and cmc have some kind of slow moving retrograding low after Christmas. Gfs is real nice for SNE feiw
  16. What the hell were they thinking? Yeah their oldproduct used flash once you zoomed in, but why couldn’t they just keep the same graphics and integrate it better? It’s extremely slow, pixelated, and just flat out ugly.....this needs to be remade. Whoever they hired to make it screwed up.
  17. Yeah it really depends how well this Christmas storm Bombs. As Tom said on another forum the pac is not too good at that time frame so it’s going to depend on the block
  18. Euro was about to kaboom at the end of the run
  19. It did look more progressive, any maps?
  20. If that verifies I know the Op gfs shows that low inland, but we’d def be able to pinch that H5 low farther southeast. Long way to go. Could be a mirage, could be a signal....
  21. Icon looks improved too far Christmas front (new 12z run)
  22. Here is icon so far. You can see it’s much more positively tilted. Will be interesting to see if other major models follow suite...ugh idk why but can’t add image.
  23. 12z icon looks a lot better with the Christmas front
  24. The icon has this energy farther south out west too so far... best case like you guys are saying is it kind of pinches off and let’s the northern branch scoot ahead
  25. I think next one is the following time period after the Christmas front
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