Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Few gfs members have it, but it’s not even worth it at this range. The pacific is so volatile models will have tough time with energy coming on shore, and each model is handling next weeks cutter differently. The gfs was going to be suppressed, but it hung around long enough for a northern branch shortwave to phase in. That being said, it’s the only chance for coastal regions in the next 12 days it seems so might as well keep an eye on it
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I was thinking of chasing the LES today but with holidays and work just can’t do it. I’ll have another chase worthy storm at some point.
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Hopefully the SSW will save us. Rocking feb?
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The gfs and gefs look like crap in the LR. They’ve reversed over the last few days. Very worrisome
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Gfs and euro handling next weeks cutter differently seemingly impacts entire run. Let’s hope this isn’t a case where the euro caves.
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I wouldbt be able to get out and leave for NY or Erie until tomorrow evening. Worried that by that point roads will be atrocious as I got close, and I’d miss half the storm. Ugh bad timing. Hopefully another Les event soon I’ll come chase!
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You know you’re screwed already. This is how it works for us snow lovers. We’ve all been out of town during a big one. I missed Feb 2006 in Philly.
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It’s a thread the needle but it’s a good setup still...verbatim (and not worth at this stage) you have to have the perfect balance of not phasing the ULL in Canada and not getting shredd d. This run basically did that. This would have been a foot plus for someone in VA this run. Eps looks like it shows it at H5 as well
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Yeah it ain’t snowing with a low in the lakes and high off the coast, but it could change. Encouraging runs last night.
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Ensembles were way better. Going to have bs volatile runs like that let’s hope it doesn’t become a pattern though
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What would be some good spots if I were to go (Buffalo region)
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I’m contemplating making my first les chase for this one.I live in Philly. Deciding tonight with the holidays and all
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I mean it’s pretty clear this day 8-9 is a cutter. Nothings changed though well have increased blocking after and we’ll see what happens. I got no issues with DT. Why take it so personally? Do you pay him for forecasts?Go look at the maps he posted. The night he made those tweets it did seem like there was major potential. The pac just didn’t cooperate. Nothing wrong with what he posted. My only gripe is I’m not sure if he walked it back yet and explained what went wrong.
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I think you guys up there have a shot with New Years event on the front end. Obviously a torch down here in Philly, but wouldn’t be shocked if you get some waa frozen precip out of it. Hate to kick the can down the road, but yeah I think it’s first 2 weeks Jan when we start getting better looks
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With the blocking forecasted I think we’ll have 3 opportunities with the wave lengths entering the conus. Idk if it’ll be the New Years one or after, but we’ll be tracking soon. Hopefully I don’t have to chase for once.
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Blocking persisting throughout the run. It’s only a matter of time until digital snow appears
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Not really sure what you guys are talking about. December 30-Jan 3 looking really good. You’re all just focused on the post Xmas clipper with crap airmass but whatever
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Yeah I need to contact a mod. Waiting for James Harden to be a 76er I’ll go with HardenHadleyCelll
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Yea his woof is legit. He’s just a day early. I think I’d prefer this clipper to bomb at deep as possible. Even if it cuts inland and rains it’ll form a better 50/50 setup
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Great op euro run. That look would trend colder if it held... I think we should root on the day 7 clipper to bomb and form a 50/50 eveb if it’s rain
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Was end of feb 2010 I believe 25-26
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Yeah I just was looking at H5. Thought it did. Regardless these March like closed ULLs are my favorite type of system. I hope it verifies. I’ll chase if i have to
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That’s one way for it to work lol. Retrograding low, okay...
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I’m currently saving. Want to start my own painting company and work up in MA. Close to Worcester. Animal, no worries. I’ll bump this come the end of March but I truly think we’ll have above normal snow. it could be worst. You could be me and storm chase and miss out on 40” because you flipped a coin and it landed on tails.
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There is one issue there. Like others have mentioned the HP originates in SE. that Hp you see there builds in later. Not saying it’s not possible, but my focus is more on what happens few days after. Of course I could just be kicking the cab down the road and say the same thing in a few days
