Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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I’d be shocked if they didn’t make it a game .
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This is amazing but don’t let the foot off the pedal .
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Stopping the blitz scored that one there .
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Haha that’s my wife. She’s been on 2 storm chases with me. She doesn’t really understand it but she’s a sport .
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This has been a rough winter only because we’ve had pretty decent patterns but just can’t seem to get lucky. I really hope we can muster 4+ N of the mason dixon line but who knows. .
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Let’s gooooo!!!!!!!!!! .
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Wow a DC winter eh? Enjoy it folks. GFS coup for once? .
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Yes this is the entire reason models backed off the more N route. I wouldn’t be shocked if an icon scenario occurs. Thursdays wave is too warm for most .
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Getting a decent snowstorm in Philly seems like pulling teeth. This is probably another 1-1.5 .
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As pointed on our discord a good thing about this event is there isn’t some tpv sitting over us ready to squash it. It’s really just how strong the energy is that comes out of the southwest. Type of event where a last second N trend could in the cards. I’m just really trying to break 6” out here just NE of Philly .
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16th looks fun if the confluence sets up right. .
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Exactly, I’m extrapolating, but it also depends what happens with the tpv, does it head farther E or meander and shift W which would change the trough axis. Things trended better for that 16-17 wave today though regardless. Both time frames are on the table (16-17th and somewhere around 20-21st) .
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Some significant changes end of euro run which could bode well for the 16-17th wave .
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Isn’t this height pattern on some of your guys profile pictures? .
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This is for Ji, end of the JMA today, it is happy hour so… .
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Sorry big hit N of MD line, but close enough to track
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Definitely closer this run… more like the Ai .
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Woof? Tpv sitting near us going to be hard to cut that… .
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20th def has me intrigued. Block is formed, solid confluence, 50/50…. .
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Yep, I had a feeling it was going to head this way after the 6z euro Ai run. Yesterday I was starting to feel potential high end SECS event now it’s looking like another 2-4”er .
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Correct, but what I’m saying is the weaker less amped lead wave benefits people farther S. .
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Euro going the way I mentioned earlier, weaker lead wave, putting its eggs in the follow up it seems. This could benefit people farther S
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Yeah pretty much except the lead wave will have colder air to work with so it would favor southern sections. Icon and cmc have sort of been in this camp for a few runs. Once we get it to under 96 hours we’ll probably have a good idea how the h5 progression will go .
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The euro Ai does exactly what my main fear is, at least up in Philly… the wave behind it becomes the dominant force and 11-12th wave is mostly overrunning. The wave for middle/end of week favors inland at this time. This scenario could work for southern sections because the lead wave ends up being mostly overrunning .
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Yea if we can hold until tomorrow night then I’ll feel much more confident. Feeling like a typical 4-8”er with pops to 8-10”. I do like how EPS has the max stripe right through the city. GFS is right where you want it at this range .
