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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Yep pretty good cave at H5 there. It’s not there yet, but was way closer than 12z was.
  2. Heisy
    Snow map from gfs kind of has those same qualities. This means nothing though. No two storms are ever the same like psu said. I just use the cips site to see if heavy hitters are showing up.
  3. Heisy
    No it was December 30 2000. Huge dc bust. Accumulated partly sunny skies I believe lol. Forecast was like 4-8” the night of the storm. Miller b developed too Far East. Here in Philly we got 8” but Just a few miles west got nothing
  4. Heisy
    I know, sorry. I had posted on another forum that it looked like dec 30 a bit while the gfs was coming out. It does have a lot of Miller b attributes so far on the modeling. Apologies in advance let me add. Obvious differences here, but both dec 30 event and this one were bowling ball events. Probably why it’s showing up on cips along with the block.
  5. Heisy
    Interesting December 27 2000 shows up on the analog list. (Obv similar pattern to the dec 30 storm) I thought the gfs snowfall map and precip orientation looked very similar
  6. Heisy
    It’s not atrocious, but this run keeps the heavy stuff off shore. Not saying gfs is right at all, just throwing it out there
  7. Heisy
    If those dynamics don’t get over you temps will be a major issue. It’s the gfs so not taking it verbatim, but 18z keeps heavy stuff off shore. Look at surface temps...this is at 70 hours
  8. Heisy
    Really? All upset over a day 7-8 euro run that was a few miles from being a hit?
  9. Heisy
    Feels like I’ve been tracking this event for 2 months. Hard to bet against the euro, but it has caved before.
  10. Heisy
    Man this looks good
  11. Heisy
    No problem. I get a little front end in Philly, over to rain and then back to snow I guess. Nice hit for the burbs down here. Hoping i get to chase this next one to NH and stay home for the 8th
  12. Heisy
  13. Heisy
    CMC later in the run crush job for the 8-9th
  14. Heisy
    I’m chasing this as long as NH is my farthest spot. I might be stuck there though lol. Just snows and snows for days
  15. Heisy
    12z cmc at 120
  16. Heisy
    As you can see that pesky northern piece isn’t screwing up the flow. Let’s see what happens...
  17. Heisy
    Gfs has better separation. That northern branch piece isn’t interfering this run
  18. Heisy
    Much better confluence on gfs at 120
  19. Heisy
    Out of its range, but fwiw. It’s still snowing from VT into ME at 84 hours here...
  20. Heisy
    Reggie still not caving. In fact it looks even more tucked than 6z
  21. Heisy
    Was March 2013 a late phase similar to 00z gfs/cmc etc? I remember the models starting to show the same type of deal at this range. I went and storm chased down and Virginia for a bust instead of going to SNE a few days later
  22. Heisy
    Might be headed to Bangor Maine or something if modeling holds for the next few days. Farthest I’d ever road tripped. Then hopefully come back home for a Philly whooping.
  23. Heisy
    Yeah I thought the same thing, kind of odd
  24. Heisy
    Yeah woops here is 6z
  25. Heisy
    12z NAM H5 low a bit deeper so far. Looking at the cmc etc it seems the stronger that is early on the better. Feel like if it closes off farther inland that once the incoming energy starts to phase you obv have a better chance to tug it back to the right location I know it’s early a lot will change, but anyone got any good spots in E ME if that’s where I end up road tripping?
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