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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. It’s funny too because the Ukie has been super amped all winter. Few weeks ago at this range it kept showing a hit on an event that was out to sea. Of course this event it’s out to sea. Made it to midnight night as well wait for the euro.
  2. I agree. It’s been crap this year. When gfs picks up a signal like this it is usually a good sign.
  3. After the gfs and cmc the Ukie does this, really? Lol I hate that model sometimes
  4. Haha common these are the nights we wait all summer for. The cmc being this good tells me this is legit. Let’s take it on the chin and see what euro does. If Ukie comes north I’m all in.
  5. I’m not sure how much that lobe effects things. It’s kind of cutoff from the flow. It’s more the 50/50 in my eyes. I mean we saw the cmc earlier which had that ULL sitting even farther S and it was better. Idk though
  6. Oh no not another AO block, make it stop, the humanity!
  7. This is gonna be a 2-4” front end for city with sleet, freezing drizzle/rain and back to snow showers. That would be my bet
  8. Totally agree. It also has some support with icon, cmc so it’s not totallY on an island. Good Points though it’s like a Miller A/B
  9. It’s the surface, it’s torched early on (talking for S DE), not that I’d trust gfs thermals ever
  10. Thermals playing a role over in S DE I assume? Because they got a lot more qpf than that. Looks like the old 33 and snow. I wish we had the para to see if it was supporting this or not. Idk fun to see, but hard to believe.
  11. Wish I could get excited...hard to without eps on board
  12. Gfs looks decent so far thru 105. Not enough changes that tell me it’ll back off from 12z run. Well see
  13. Yea it does look like the low is sheared out though guess that’s why it came to mind. I remember that being a complete dc and burbs type system until like the day of. The AM models started to show that precip into Philly. Was quite the surprise here
  14. This event reminds me of a warmer version of December 2013 (eagles lions game). I can’t find H5 maps for it but for some reason I feel like that was a sheered out shortwave too that took advantage of temp gradient and the fronto overachieved up here in Philly. Anyone have maps from that one curious if I’m just imagining things.
  15. I cant see the euro being like the gfs or cmc from what im seeing so far through 117, it sped up the wave idk if itll have any room
  16. Let me also add that the UKIE has been atrocious at this range this year it seems. I probably wouldnt have said that if it showed a hit though, LOL
  17. Of course the ukie got worst. lol. Once again, TPV placement way different
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