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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    CMC should be nutty for someone in PA based on B&w maps as we expected. It follows rgem but isn’t always exact, like today’s 12z run where rgem was south and cmc farther N
  2. Heisy
    That doesn’t sound like they’re buying or not buying, but just pointing it out
  3. Heisy
    Gfs jacks Philly and east heh, had much stronger fronto precip
  4. Heisy
    Gfs looks a lot better for the city, but I probably sell
  5. Heisy
    I can see the axis go from Lehigh valley up towards NNj kind of like icon
  6. Heisy
    Ralph, rgem outlier? It has the axis in the same spot as the eps/euro doesn’t it?
  7. Heisy
    That’s not the issue. Its issue is qpf placement
  8. Heisy
    Icon shifted the heavy axis south
  9. Heisy
    Pottsville most likely but still got time, gonna wait for 6z eps and 12z NAM then leave. Rgem was unrealistically tucked earlier it just looks like an insane euro like run. I’ve bet against the other eps my last two chases and it burnt me badly
  10. Heisy
    Ralph you’re really just pushing all your chips on the NAM vs all Other guidance? this isn’t to say nyc region isn’t going to do great, but the NAM is a joke with precip over pa vs other models
  11. Heisy
    NAM is bs focusing on wrong PVA. Forcing goes east when it should Form on the trowal instead. It’s garbage ignore it. Itll Keep ticking west/south etc. I’ll say it to my grave rgem Is sick
  12. Heisy
    ?
  13. Heisy
    I’ll make last second call Tom around 9-10 but I found a motel in Pottsville, thoughts
  14. Heisy
    It’s occluding by that point
  15. Heisy
    18z ggem Yeah, that’s 100mm snow gradient west burbs of Philly. 4 feet? Lol overdone but highlights the ccbs potential
  16. Heisy
    20 years of following the eta and NAM model. Run after run during big snowstorms. I’m not saying nyc region isn’t doing awesome in this storm at all, what it did for pa and nw sections is a joke that’s all
  17. Heisy
    It’ll be completely different in 6 hours
  18. Heisy
    Wouldn’t trust the NAM until tomorrow. It’ll look all goofy and then a random 6z run it gets its act together. Happens all the time with this pos. All I do is use it literally as the storm is happening to get last second adjustments. Even then it sucks. The last December storm I chased I changed motel reservations because THE 12z NAM literally 3 hours before the first flakes shifted south and the max ended up going N of me.. I’d literally bet a cool g to anyone on this
  19. Heisy
    They only tend to verify inside the ccb, as we saw in December with 40 at bgm
  20. Heisy
    Yea that’s other option forgot to mention. I like west more than N
  21. Heisy
    Probably will decide tomorrow afternoon after 18z gfs but probably headed to Berks or poconos, unsure yet though
  22. Heisy
    How’s snow growth looking in the ccb? Any good skews?
  23. Heisy
    Ukie well north of last night
  24. Heisy
    I’m starting to feel like someone out near York, Cumberland and n/e of there see 3 feet
  25. Heisy
    Meh. I’ll take it over the NAM but wouldn’t trust it until tomorrow. Just like that it was south
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