Heisy

What’s that short term meso model New England posters use a lot I forget what it’s called. Ugh it’s escaping me. Weatherfella loves it haha, curious what it shows

NAM has to be wrong this isn’t possible this close to a storm right?

18z euro low was a tiny bit stronger than 12z. The model battle in Philly is epic. Never seen this much difference so far close to a storm

True my bad. It’s relative, the low was stronger than 12z run

Either the NAM is out to lunch or this is the greatest fail by the euro of all time. This is snowiest run yet for city I believe

Euro crushes city, it did not tick NE

This is exactly how I’ve learned. I went to met school for 2.5 years but I feel like learning “backwards” goes a long way in this field. You start looking at H5, H7 eventually you know what’s “good” and what’s “not”. Like today’s euro I looked at H5 and knew it was a huge east coast snowstorm. I really didn’t even have to look at surface or precip map. You start seeing the nuances and little things. I have trouble verbalizing what I’m seeing sometimes with met language, but if you sat here with me during a model run and I could talk to you you’d see the difference with me. I am far from a met compared to bob, psu and others, but yeah chill’s post was awesome.

No clue I don’t know much about the area it’s just one I found. I’m driving at a light, could you pm me a link to one?

Hey guys I’m headed to Dover nj, gonna be fun

Ukie had that look at 144 too I thought this was hella ominous, probably want that ridge a bit farther east, but threat is Legit, gefs have it too

Holy crap, this is a separate storm folks ahah, ok I won’t clog up thread I’m just giddy

Holy bleeping euro. Are we gonna really 09-10 it?

MECS on euro lol , looks like winter is back on the table boys

Wowowow, pna and a huge block

Day 7 euro pattern is nuts!

CMC has it too but just over Philly. It’s a real feature imo but placement will vary

There’s a ccb band that sits over the region during the wrap around.

Haha scoop poop scoo coo idc as long as the nam Is wrong!

Gfs scoring a coop? Wow. Kind of occludes farther east

18 at the airport seems pretty high. I think 11-12 sounds more realistic. I hope I’m wrong though. Gonna be close. Depends on the orientation of the ccb band and how far north h7 low is.

Told everyone it’s precip over pa was wacky. It’s coming back to the rest of guidance. Going to be fun. Enjoy everyone

It is amazing how it seems harder for us to get run of the mill 3-6” type snowstorm than it is to get 1-2 feet types

Think Allentown best bet for me. Not that far really and is a better position if it forms a few ticks east than progged and they’re fine if it’s west

Feel better about NAM? Lol I told you man I had seen this model misplace qpf my entire life basically i knew it was coming

And March 58s snow map is very similar throughout New England. It’s a good analog imo.