Heisy

It’s not impossible though, where I was in NJ a band parked itself on me. I was literally probably 10 miles away from being too far S

It’s still snowing outside NE Philly, crazy

I ninja’d MJO for once ;). Ukie also looks like it might have done something similar to LR cmc as well

Funny story I told my dad to buy natural gas. He went to his broker and the guy told him when it comes to that areas he listens to joe bastardi. My dads calls me back, hes like, my broker mentioned some guy named Joe bastard or something do you know of him? I loled. This was back in early Jan when the SSW happened. I bet this continues to rise.

John pretty much summed up in one tweet what I couldn’t in 58 posts, but yeah, elongate the PV, puts low heights in 50/50 region, hp builds in and roll the dice. Still need to time the branches good as always. Doesn’t garuantee anything, but like playing poker you put your chips in when ahead and should do well in the long run. I told my friend 2 weeks ago that if Philly didn’t get an inch of snow in the next 3 weeks I’d go streaking down Broad Street. I’m not there yet for a similar proclamation, but only because it’ll be a lot colder over the next few weeks and no one wants frozen nips

Bingo.

Yes here is eps at same time showing that HP starting to build in. So basically what I’d hope would unfold here is you can see hints of a split flow on the west coast. As the ULL around the lakes head east into 50/50 region it gives room for the Hp to build behind it. Then you have cold airmass in place for whatever comes out west underneath the Rex block. I can’t explain it as well as psu or others but def keep an eye on this time frame. Until then there def a few waves we could score a modest event out of.

Yeah that’s the Rex block under the -EPO. With a full finished retrograding block. Verbatim the euro has a wave down south there pressed under the NS tpv, but at this range not worried about details. Once that big ULL over lakes would move east if that split flow is modeled right and spacing is good. It’s game on. It’s exactly how blizzard of 96 formed. does this map look familiar to anyone?? 4-5 days before the blizzard of 96

Haha sorry guys lol. There’s plenty of opportunities before that it just seems this winter the big ones happen at the end of the pattern as -AO relaxes. The fun part is we can rebuilding the -AO.

We’ll have multiple shots as the block retrogrades and then a HECS opportunity once the block diminishes for Archambault event feb 10-17. The retrograded block forces low heights out over 50/50 region with potential split flow underneath -epo. This month could be epic if things break right

I’m telling you guys whatever happens over next 10 days is gravy. The pattern at the end of euro is HECS potential. We do well at the end of the pattern when it’s about to break down. There’s a split flow setup with lower heights all pressed east into 50/50 region. At this range timing and placement of features is crap, it’s the overall idea you look at. We’re way too far out to know the details but feb 10-17 should have a legit shot at another major event for EC.

Hey all! I storm chased up to Dover NJ. Finally got lucky, band stalled over this region all afternoon. Total anywhere from 24-28”, and I’m sure there is isolated 30 spots. Just wanted to see 2 feet somewhere this year and it happened, the rest is gravy. anywhere, onto the LR Sunday, the issue with this potential event is that the wave is just an extension of the tpv. This unfortunately could allow HP to slide off the EC and put a low in the lakes. This could still work if the two vorts dive farther SE & with the block this could very well happen. I am highly interested in the day 10-15 time frame. We usually cash as things break down or relax a bit. On this map you can see the block has retrograded. This has allowed a huge 50/50 ULL to form. There’s bit of a split flow out west. What would be important here is if the block retrograded more southwest than due west. If the NS cooperates this has big time potential.

Yeah just a complete guess dover id say 25-27 makes sense fallen (maybe more). Otg probably less since overnight with the weight. Those bands currently are just to my west.

I’m 25 minute drive NNE from there in Dover. I don’t measure so just going off official obs. At 7pm a place 15 mins southwest of me had 25.8. I’m guessing we finish 28-32” here. It’s been snowing lightly all night. This region jackpotted because of a nearly stationary band between like 2pm-6pm

Damn my dad is up near warminster near Davisville/street. Nice hit

I think a lesson learned for myself and others is h7 pass. Anytime you see the models have an h7 low on top of us you should expect a warm layer to exist. Need it to be farther SE

This is also one of my favorite storms down in Philly. Waa snows overachieved and surprised in the first part and while the gap kind of sucked the main show was incredible with white out conditions for a few hours.

Sweet vort pass on last nights euro. Other models sort of backed off a bit but not enough to not be interested. This has a SNE up through NNE look to it. Issue I have with setup is the trough is kind of hooked up back towards Canada. Kind of an extension of the tpv. Would probably be a fast mover but a crusher if this verified.

Anyone near dover have latest official measurement? Looks like we will have light snow with moderate bursts through most of the day. My guess is we could get another 1-3” , regardless it’ll make for a very scenic day with 2ft+ on the ground

I’m legitimately thinking I have a shot to hit 3 feet here. It’ll depend what happens late tonight and Tom if we can add on like 2-3” after this band fades... it’ll be the most snow I’ve ever seen

Keep me posted on our official total. I think this band has a few more hours in it. Then late tonight into tomorrow probably wind whipped light snow so will be close! I’m at the Hilton Dover Rockaway

The band just reignited, Jesus this Is nuts!

Hey guys, I finally may jackpot a chase, or close to it. Currently in Dover NJ. I’ve been sitting in the south end of this band all day. It refused to move west of me. It’s been 8 years coming since I made my first chase up to MA for feb 2013. With what’s left has to be a chance for 30-35” I just don’t know what type of rates we see overnight/tomorrow. I also don’t measure so just going off official nws measurements.

I’ve been getting a stalled ccb band train through here all afternoon. I left Allentown late day yesterday to come to Dover. Probably wouldn’t have mattered, but I may end up over 30”