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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Because the snow maps are likely wrong away from the deformation zone. I put 5 just in case mixing gets to city, and 10 if it doesn’t. It’s also based on history of how these storms play out
  2. Heisy
    This doesn’t have the duration or strength even close to either of them. The qpf maps will be too Juiced. I’m excited too, but I think 24” Max is where expectations should be.
  3. Heisy
    Yeah but you have to be realistic too. This isn’t a monster closed off ULL. I think the Max well see from whoever jackpots is like 24” but I could be wrong
  4. Heisy
    It does seem slower though too when compared to the cmc for example
  5. Heisy
    That looks good I think I agree that looks perfect in my eyes. On precip maps va getting crushes on that frame
  6. Heisy
    Ukie at 72,looks good when compared to cmc for example. Not 100% sure since it seems slower as well
  7. Heisy
    I’m chasing from Philly. I can’t turn down an hour drive to see 2 feet
  8. Heisy
    I think tonight’s cmc is the most realistic outcome
  9. Heisy
    Throw out the GFS. That isn’t happening. In fact if the snow map looks anything like tonight’s run I’ll video tape me running nude down broad street. Philly will be in that 5-10 range most likely. Their biggest issue will be subsidence/mix. In fact I’d venture to say the city will see heavier snow rates in the front end of the storm than during the peak. There’s going to Be many jealous posters on here most likely during Wednesday night. Not that 5-10 is bad at all lol. Just sayin
  10. Heisy
    Gfs is a joke. I live in philly you’d think I’d be happy. I’d rather it be the other way around. All I care about is the NAM within 36 hours and the euro. I look at other models for amusement.
  11. Heisy
    Yeah december 30 2000 in Washington DC lol. Though it was a different model back then
  12. Heisy
    I think it’s the bias of placing lows too far SE. idk why you guys are even worried tbh. I’d rather be in Boston than philly right now by a long shot.
  13. Heisy
    Black and white maps of cmc look even more intense with H5
  14. Heisy
    I mean not really, the euro crushed us at 18z with close to 15-20” . If you mean the Max zone then yeah
  15. Heisy
    Agreed. What a waste of a storm. Can’t even enjoy any good NAM runs, next!
  16. Heisy
    Impressively early. There’s just too much model agreement on the large scale features to not dO it.
  17. Heisy
    Where’s Ji with the JMA because it is the most south of any model looks like lol
  18. Heisy
    This is on a lot of guidance. Think it has to do with how the ULLs are being stacked. Looking like a less beefy 2016 here in Philly where we get some snow and then the deformation zone heads NW
  19. Heisy
    Yeah ukie barely has an inch in philly so you get the idea
  20. Heisy
    I’ll take that bet . GFS will most likely play catch up the entire event.
  21. Heisy
  22. Heisy
    Ukie looks like it’d smash you guys hard
  23. Heisy
    How many times does the gfs do this in big storms. It’ll catch up with other models eventually. You guys are fine up there. Eps destroys the GFS with QPF at least down here in Philly. I’m probably headed to Allentown or something.
  24. Heisy
    Ukie
  25. Heisy
    It’s out on SV
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