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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Fairly confident we’ll see uptick on euro as we get closer.
  2. Heisy
    Agreed. This is more of a 3-6 with pops to 8-9 if full potential reached
  3. Heisy
    I think that’s a half truth. From what I understand they use 6hr data from the previous run, and add some new data. I might be explaining this wrong but I had a convo with a met on phillywx. Regardless off runs are still updated and worth taking serious
  4. Heisy
    Amazing post! I’ve been looking at the fronto on the mesos. While out of range it highlights the potential. If this shortwave can neg tilt and the trough axis aligns perfectly this will be a classic heavy wet snow event for someone. Could be a lot of 30-35dbz type in the radar inside the max axis of the precip. Hope the trends continue because I love fat white out flakes regardless of how quick it moves
  5. Heisy
    You guys have the RPM frame or two prior to the one posted? I know wrong forum but I have no clue where to find the model. I need more happy hour love
  6. Heisy
    This won’t verify, but is crazy to see
  7. Heisy
    Haha yeah. Thing is it kind of happens not in the way I expected, but as long as it snows idc!
  8. Heisy
    The only caveat is if the tpv end up too far west then it runs inland, but I think the day 6 wave helps push the boundary east.
  9. Heisy
    Gfs crush job next week, wow what a run.
  10. Heisy
    18z Gfs might have a big overrunning event this run. We’re going to see different placement each run of the TPV near the conus border. Where it sets up & how much breaks off on the day 6 wave will dictate what happens toward day 8-11
  11. Heisy
    Forgot that! Also obv the elevated areas of va and nc could do really well too, but near the metro region I’d prefer to be in DE right now, thought I’d never say that.
  12. Heisy
    Remember there is some qpf from Friday’s front too
  13. Heisy
    Haha you’re gonna have a long February then
  14. Heisy
    I really like southern half of Delaware as a jackpot location for this one so far. They get perfect balance of temps being just cold enough and the heaviest precip training over them.
  15. Heisy
    This is the typical event the NAM will juice up, flat waves with coastal fronto. Expect some crazy runs like this. Need the cmc/rgem family to jump on but I’m starting to feel pretty good about a 2-4 3-5 type event
  16. Heisy
    I just use weathertap for larger regions and RadarScope for the zoomed in. This was the first time I used RadarScope during a storm and it was amazing. It circles your exact location. Only a $10 one time fee not bad good icon run let’s hope gfs continues!
  17. Heisy
    The icon is the new king if this storm happens, has barely wavered at alll
  18. Heisy
    Perfect start time too, can’t beat it
  19. Heisy
    Surface will be fine for most as long as the heavy precip is legit. It’s gonna be a paste—drip event in the best case scenario.
  20. Heisy
    Yep, sick fronto band. Hard to take that serious though would have rather had the big picture look better.
  21. Heisy
    This storm blowing up helps the pattern down the line. Turns into a 50/50 type feature locks in an okay HP in a good spot. Day 6 euro buries SNE because of help from this event.
  22. Heisy
    Woops yeah Sunday. getting that precip to start before daytime warming would be important. This is more like a swf event. Surface is marginal but upper air is fine so if we find the right balance of precip/strength and timing will work out. You’d actually see more white rain if we got fringed. The heavier precip would help cool the BL
  23. Heisy
    Agree with everything you said except day time. This falls after 1am monday into the morning hours up to like noon. Starting before dawn will help keep the BL cool.
  24. Heisy
    Np, normally it’s out by now it’s just delayed for some reason I’ll post it when SV has it out far enough.
  25. Heisy
    Where is icon out? It just started running on SV, double check it’s not an old run fyi
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