Heisy

Hey guys. I’m headed to Williamsport tomorrow. I know that isn’t really your region, but just wanted to visit different forums. I went Cal U back in 05 in their meteorology Program. It was before I really knew about how CAD worked. I quick learned the downside lol. Hope you guys do well to because that probably means more for me as well!

How much for philly?

You guys think I should stick with Williamsport or maybe head east to Scranton or south towards Harrisburg. I can’t freaking decide

So many factors. Where does the low tuck to? Rgem/euro types almost have it to Baltimore. Lol. Then you add how quick does it deepen. 3km would be best case it really imo. Still undecided on Williamsport maybe Scranton or down in Harrisburg. On my search for the jackpot haha

Do you get your facts from oann?

Lol the NAM is now making me think poconos would be better lol

Idk if anyone remembers my posts from 2-3 days ago saying the best part of this storm for the city will be the thump. That still holds true now. Heisy’s call: center city: 2–4” followed by sleet then grapple/drizzle mix during dryslot..maybe some bursts of snow at the end that doesn’t amount to much northeast philly: 3-5” same deal Good luck down here I’ll be up in Williamsport!

Hey folks. I’m headed to Williamsport early tomorrow morning. I’m beyond excited haha...couple questions 1) looks like the storm ends early tomorrow. How are the roads up my way? I should be near an interstate. I drive a car not a truck/suv. Think I may be able to get out Thursday night? 2) how’s the instability looking up this way? I’d love to experience some thunder snow. 3) my goal is 18” I think the duration will hurt a bit. I think the snow maps are a bit overdone because of it, but who knows. Do you guys think someone my way might hit 30?!

Anyone have a link to the RPM?

Starts rolling on stormvista at 645, get your game up

Haha I know right. I’m so worn out I couldn’t handle another 7 day track.

Hello active December...verbatim it misses, but gotta love the potential gfs showing for Christmas Day or day or 2 later....Hell of a ridge out west, if you space out the waves properly that’s dynamite. I’m headed to Williamsport pa btw. Good luck up there this go around. Philly will get one this year

What a setup haha... real close this run

It reminds me of the December 2000 cold front that had epic thunderstorms and setup a nice pattern that lead to the dec 30 event. Of course that was a bust west of philly, but pattern does look good. It’s better than missing this storm and looking like crap. im chasing to Williamsport Pa. at this rate the best forcing will end up NW of even me

Yeah idk what he means by that. We’re just as bad as DC pretty much.

GFS at 189 hours looks interesting with the setup

CMC almost looks like the maps it had with this storm at day 10

To brighten the mood check day 7 gfs. Not bad with that energy coming down from the northwest. I can’t even fathom tracking another event right now though lol

Why you guys even consider the GFS is beyond me. As a veteran model watcher it always jumps the gun at the 36-48 hr stage. ALWAYS. I only use it for determining if a storm has potential in the medium range. Specifics are a joke. Look at 12z run for more reality.

Awesome! Sent you a pm.

Hey all. I’m chasing this storm up from Philly. I don’t want to drive more than 3 hours tops. I was thinking either poconos, but also Williamsport or around the Harrisburg region. Any spots you’d recommend based on current data? I’m a little worried in E PA about the deformation zone lifting farther N than anticipated, but that’d still be better for c pa. Can’t decide! I’d be leaving early tomorrow morning so still time to get some model runs in.

We’re going to have plenty of opportunities. This one is tough to swallow for cities point SE, but it’s only mid December. Can tell already this winter will produce.

It’s total unsupported crap. CMC is well north 00z

Overdone. It’s gonna be sleet with a lp sitting there in Philly. Let’s make a bet. Haha btw I might go to Jim Thorpe like you said

It’s one run and a qpf tick Upper air features are fine. Idk man it could be worst you could be in Philly with hours and hours of sleet