IntenseBlizzard2014

Eeeeh. Is that the new GFS? That's because the new one (Now the GFS OP) has a warm bias.

Yeah. I have noticed that we are always finding some sort of way for high dew points. Why is that?

Yes. I'll take low 90s and low dews any day in the summer.

I'm impressed with the lower dews in the daytime. Makes going outside much more bearable.

As long as it's not humid, then it's fine.

I'm not sure if that will happen. We'll have to wait and see for a few more months.

I know right? Finally!

Yup. I suspected this from a couple of months ago. The cold pool of water may actually limit the heat up here, but a strong SE ridge can easily counter that.

Interesting comparison. The most recent CANSIPS is sniffing this out. July 2019 August 2019

You win.

That -PNA may not last for long when the convection pushes past the Dateline.

December 25th, 2018. Seems unusual, yet very possible. The MJO will go for a stronger burst through Phase 7/8/1 through December 20th. Which will make it very favorable for colder and stormier weather a few days later.

This is understandable. If we get a typical Central Based/-QBO/-PDO. Then this forecast can verify quite easily.

Yes please. This will be very welcomed.

Thanks to the stubborn Upper Level Ridge NW of Hawaii, there won't be any canes nearing Central/Southern Cali. It looks like Odile is going to be the closest to the heart of the drought areas without actually putting any meaningful dent into the drought.

EWR: 10 NYC : 8 LGA : 8 JFK : 7 Based on the latest JMA, it is showing below average temperature departures for 60% of the Eastern US for JJA. El Ninos produce wetter conditions (ie September 1982) for a large chuck of the US. Mainly at Southern California through Texas and into the Southeast. At times, there are troughs that swing through the NE and we get strong LPs producing wetter conditions for the Northeast and Northern Mid Atlantic. So those of you on this topic, beware because if you are planning to go to the beach it won't be good. This Summer could challenge 2009 in terms of temperatures, but the rainfall won't be overbearing like 2009. A weaker Nino this time around will have lesser effects, so a summer like 2009 will be close, but there may be a few more 90s This Summer Vs. 2009. The central theme for this summer is Cool and Dry/Wet and Hot/Dry with Afternoon Thunderstorms (Possibly Severe).

A Space/Time record. lol