rjvanals

Temps are also into the upper 20's during the heavy period of snow which is great

This is better than last night for DC

Liking GFS through 21...

I actually like that it has a bit of sleet getting close to DC for a bit since that's a realistic aspect of most of our bigger storms

Better than 6z

15 inches at DCA through 39...

I'll take Hr 33

Rare DCA more than IAD coastal storm?

Snow into DC on euro

Was doing some point and click on pivotal and it was showing it

Like the NAM GFS is showing signs in soundings that we might have to contend w Sleet if we get precip up here

Late week is a DC NW storm on Euro and shows the classic DC split w early weeks now SE late week NW

Looks like the Dec 2018 storm on the Euro

Euro does get light snow up into DC this run

Hope the chasers in the car crash are ok; looked bad watching it live

DC has been running real bad recently which is probably just terrible luck: 2/7 - storm was supposed to some in at 4 AM but was slightly delayed; this allowed us to torch the day before and caused the best snow to come in just after sunrise. This combined w the prior days torch caused white rain which had it come at 4 am would’ve been 3-4 inches 2-10- DC missed 3-4 inches by being ~20 miles to far south due to storm track; bad luck 2-12- DC misses 3-4 inches by being ~ 25 miles to far north due to storm track again; bad luck 2-17- initial wave isn’t strong enough to dislodge the shallow warm layer and the column is off by 1-2 degrees at 6-8K causing the sleet storm; DC misses 4-6 Get just 2 of these storms to hit, I’d be much happier

HRRR did a poor job on the sleet/snow line Saturday consistently showing snow over the western suburbs of DC

Euro is ~ around .3 qpf in DC area (half of what it was showing at 00Z)

Euro gets inch line into DC tonight

Euro gives DC .6 qpf of sleet turning over to ZR Sat night into Sunday morning

Sleet/Snow mix in Potomac; 33f

It's available on Pivotal

Going to be an interesting battle between the old GFS and new GFS; old GFS gives DCA .2 QPF , .1 snow, and never gets below 35, new GFS gives DCA .7 QPF , 7 inches of snow, and gets down to 32

NAM is also much warmer in DC than GFS and Euro with the first wave; 32-33 vs 27-28

3K NAM is also much better for DC