rjvanals

Hoping to see the sleet line race north to the Tappan Zee bridge tonight

Sleet is kinda fun and sticks around. Freezing Rain sucks

GFS w snow next Monday

One thing I’ve noticed anecdotally is winters where Syracuse has a lot of early snow compared to Buffalo turn out to be decent in the DMV due to a predominantly NW flow that hits Syracuse while building up a snowpack in Canada vs winters that dump on Buffalo have a SW flow and have a ice free Lake Erie. So far this winter Syracuse has 39” while Buffalo has 17” which if my theory is correct is a good sign for the rest of our winter. https://goldensnowball.com

Mesos did a great job delaying the cold air at the surface which was one of the limiting factors (and poor snow growth at least imby). 1 more hour of snow below freezing everyone would’ve been happy

1.3” here. Lost about 90 minutes of qpf due to warm surface temps and then had poor snow growth the rest of the storm

Not surprised w the graupel type snow I’m seeing

There’s gotta be some thin warm layer above the surface as I’m getting styrofoam or graupel type snowflakes no dendrites

Forecasts are going to bust once again around the beltway since everyone ignored what all the models were showing was a problem w surface temps

So frustrating to be wasting qpf in a short duration “storm” since we can’t get below freezing

Got light snow here but of course we can't get below freezing still 34

Light rain 37

NAMs are a step back and suggest surface temps could be a issue inside the beltway

Closest light snow currently looks to be at Liberty Mtn just across the PA border

Both the Euro and GFS do suggest we might have the potential for light snow Monday afternoon especially north of I 70