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AmericanWxFreak

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Everything posted by AmericanWxFreak

  1. AmericanWxFreak
    Just under and inch of rain here in Columbia. Not a very exciting storm in general.
  2. AmericanWxFreak
    There’s that cluster coming up 95 that models were getting at. That should be the main action for this evening.
  3. AmericanWxFreak
    Tomorrow is the higher risk day - but the 18z 3k NAM is beefier for that 02z-05z time frame tonight
  4. AmericanWxFreak
    Seems like some agreement among models for the first round to dry up but for there to be a cluster of storms moving along 95 around 10pm-1am tonight.
  5. AmericanWxFreak
    Here’s the 3k for this evening/tonight and tomorrow. Brings a pretty healthy looking line towards us this evening but it goes poof right before reaching our area. 4-5 hours later it brings some cells up from the south for some of us tonight. Pretty active radar simulation for tomorrow but there’s definitely a focus on south of 70 again - just cherry picked one image which doesn’t tell the whole story.
  6. AmericanWxFreak
    Yes, but sounds like they are also honing in on that CVA to Delmarva area that I was seeing most models want to give the fun stuff to.
  7. AmericanWxFreak
    HRRR is very similar and has had the cluster of storms right through central MD between 5-7pm for multiple runs in a row now.
  8. AmericanWxFreak
    Slight risk for Saturday for most of the area - 2/15/5 Models seem to favor N VA from the little bit that ive seen.
  9. AmericanWxFreak
    Do mesos not handle the boundary triggered storms well? I still see some very boring looks to those models...
  10. AmericanWxFreak
    Best activity is going to be up there in SEPA it seems.
  11. AmericanWxFreak
    HRRR still very unenthused. Just a couple of small isolated storms. 12z 3k NAM had a more widespread segment form along 95 in the early evening hours.
  12. AmericanWxFreak
    Just 15% wind - the 5% hail risk from yesterday has been removed. We'll see. Some good clearing happening in central MD over the last 30 mins
  13. AmericanWxFreak
    Not seeing much enthusiasm on the models for today's threat as of right now.
  14. AmericanWxFreak
    Mamatus at sunset are my fav
  15. AmericanWxFreak
    Warned cluster getting going south of Purcellville.
  16. AmericanWxFreak
    HRRR is still adamant about another small cluster forming in and around the DC burbs in an hour or two.
  17. AmericanWxFreak
    Some of the mesos have this activity sort of drift off and die away before some new storms come in from N VA/Central MD closer to 0z.
  18. AmericanWxFreak
    Noisy morning in Columbia.
  19. AmericanWxFreak
  20. AmericanWxFreak
    The HRRR has been showing the line be able to recover locally a bit once it comes off the Blue Ridge. Surprising giving the timing. Still looks a broken mess though.
  21. AmericanWxFreak
    Things seem most active after 10pm it seems? Trying to see a concert in Columbia tonight.
  22. AmericanWxFreak
    Impressive CG Columbia looking SE
  23. AmericanWxFreak
    FFW posted from poolesville to rockville
  24. AmericanWxFreak
    Kinda bowing out? Velocities picking up over MOCO
  25. AmericanWxFreak
    These seem to have some bit of SE trajectory - Columbia about to get missed S?
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