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nycwinter

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Everything posted by nycwinter

  1. if we only were closer to the storm in central park with the very good snow rations it would have been historic for the city...what a wasted month so many great chances for huge snow totals in the city..
  2. if everything would have broken right for nyc we could have gotten 40 inches of snow this month with todays blizzard and the martiin luther king storm..
  3. nyc will get less then 10 inches it looks...i.e meaning central park..
  4. so far .72 inches of precip has fallen in the park given higher then normal snow ratios 10 inches should be about it..
  5. not even close i bet . i am guess less then 10 inches in east harlem..
  6. it use to be where long island would get less snow then in the city due to the ocean influence hah not anymore!
  7. snow is so dry and powdery you do not even hear it when it hits the window..
  8. when was the last time we had a storm like this in the city and the temps were in the teens i think during the blizzard of 1996..
  9. at the 11;00 news lee goldberg said some parts of queens and brooklyn could get over a foot..
  10. um no we snow lovers want huge snow totals...
  11. what a awful horrible month for snow in nyc it could have been the greatest ..so many chances and it just did not work out..who would have thought that southern coastal new jersey will have a better year in snow totals then nyc..
  12. the euro does not have the credibility it once had..it is just as erratic as the other models..
  13. 2016 nam gave a lesson to all models why cant it happen again..
  14. Do want to briefly touch on the potential for exceptional to extreme snowfall rates. Both NAM and GFS Bufkit soundings show 80-90 units of omega coinciding with the favorable snow growth region. Given that a double barrel low could develop with the potential for an eye- like feature at some point, wherever the mesoscale snow band sets up could see 3 to even 4 inches per hour snowfall rates. With this forecast package, we have capped the totals at 24 inches. But if we get more confidence (especially if the GFS comes further west in line with the international guidance), the forecast amounts for southeastern MA could go up into the 30 to 36 inches range. And with the winds gusting over 50 to 60 mph and temps well below freezing, stay off the roads on Saturday if possible.
  15. you do not need prodigious snow totals to qualify for a blizzard..
  16. lee goldberg has the city in the 6-12 inch range now and most of long island in the 12-24 inch range...especially eastern long island..
  17. just a few days ago some were saying the gfs has been the best model this winter.. lately the gfs has been bad with a few storms..
  18. big powerful storms can often drop 3 4 or in some cases 5 inches in a hour and that ca add up very quickly..
  19. they did do away with a blizzard watch which is silly..
  20. i was wrong about a broken clock being correct twice a day seems the euro is always wrong this winter..
  21. the weaker the storm the more east it went... now if the storm was in the 950's it would have been different
  22. should be 100% implied probability nyc will be below normal for the month..
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