Craig Allen On-Air
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RANT-
We have entered into model absurdity leading to meteorological insanity. I'll make this quick; I have to get on air and say something and try to sound smart.
As of today's major runs and very latest meso/hi res updates, everything is seemingly being turned upside down. Like clothes in a dryer, the atmospheric pieces are still getting tossed around.
The euro has been horrendous. Normally the stalwart, it now has a weaker storm, much farther south again. In the past 3 days, it has changed it's solutions and placement more than the average person changes their underwear (What...you don't change your underwear 4 times a day, do you? )
If this is the case, you can totally forget about 6-12" in the northern suburbs. If the snow isn't heavy enough in the City, it won't stick b/c it will be too warm. 3-6" of 'heavier snow' will now line up south of I-78
18z HRRR/nam nest- the heaviest accumultions now run between I-80 and I-78 from EPA/WNJ across LI. But again, that's using 10:1 ratios. ...which most likely will not verify. Too warm here at the surface.
So I'm going to throw something against the wall and see what sticks and get on WCBS Newsradio 880 and come up with a forecast, which is sure to change again