madwx

Record high of 47 in Madison about to go down as it was already 46 as of 9 am.  Today is tied with 3 other days having the coldest record high temp so it was one of the easiest to break

Here’s the AFD from Milwaukee describing it as well

Getting some power plant effect snow in eastern Dane county from the plant up by Portage

Madison is flirting with a top 10 warmest January of all time.  Will need to average ~27.6 over the next 5 days to get in the top 10 and the point forecast has us averaging 27.7.

2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Just in time to make it keep snowing through the end of April and virtually eliminate the storm chase season, just like 2018.

Luckily we have a few (possibly) silver linings:

1) its not guaranteed yet that a SSW will occur, only half of the GEFS have a warming occurring in the next 2 weeks

2) Not all SSW are the same and depending on how the vortex gets split/the alignment of the blocking we may not get brutal cold

3) By the second half of May, when prime storm chase season is occurring, the weather patterns are not really connected to any SSW occurring in Feb/Mar

Such a gloomy forecast for the upcoming week.  It's been awhile since we've had such a cloudy stretch on this side of the lakes.

Long range models indicating an increased chance of a SSW during the month of February.  Defintely not set in stone but slightly concerning for people hoping for a warm early spring.

we're in the middle of what looks to be a 6-10 hour gap in snowfall on the west side of Madison.  Definitely some slight melting of snow occurring.

1.1" overnight but not accumulating that much on roads and sidewalks.  Snow depth up to 6" this morning.

14 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said:

Anyway, MKX is saying another 3-5" for here. Not a whole lot,but hey that should put our snowpack up to 10" or so. That should be enough to open snowmobile trails for a while and hey 10" is a decent snowpack in itself.

Not sure how much we can add to the snowpack.  things might compact as quickly as they accumulate and melting will be occurring during the daytime

Snow depth this morning was 5".  Will be interesting to see how much it will actually change over the next few days

4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Thread is popping off, gfs must have come in hot

record setting amounts of drizzle

QPF numbers have been trending downward on the GFS with this system.  Will be interesting to note this trend throughout the next couple days

Got down to 0 last night.  A couple chances at subzero lows the next two nights but this stretch is looking milder than it did a few days ago 

5.2” here in MSN with a light glaze on top 

Rates are still good here and it’s nice and gusty out but some dry patches in the radar are showing up to the west.  Hope the snow doesn’t shut off too soon 

Snow started 15 mins ago and it’s already moderate snow and accumulating nicely.  Visibility is definitely below a mile 

Got down to 1 here this morning. Tying our lowest temp of the winter.  Looks like a good chance to go below 0 Sunday thru Tuesday

was spot on with my wave 1 call of 3.3" but I'm going to bust hard with wave 2.  Looking more like an inch, maybe 2

About 2” on the ground now.  Back to sleet in Madison.   Feeling good about my wave 1 call but not very good about tomorrow’s snow 

Snow/sleet/rain transition showing up nicely on radar

Been snowing in Madison for about an hour now.  Coming down at a very nice clip  and snow accumulating nicely on top of the sleet layer 

Starting off as sleet here with a couple snowflakes mixed in.  

Precip about to start here.  Final call of 3.3” with the first wave and 4.0” with the second wave

it still gives over 6" in S Wi.  Not giving up hope on this yet