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Posts posted by madwx
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9 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:
What part of town are you in? I'm far west side near Mineral Point & the Beltline. @madwx, what are you seeing?
Accumulating pretty nicely out there. About 2". Roads vary between snow covered and slushy/wet. Looks like a couple more hours before warmer air moves in and rates drop off and we switch to drizzle/rain
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In addition we have a chance at a record low temp tomorrow morning. The record low for the 14th is a relatively mild -13 which is only 2 degrees below the point forecast.
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While it looks certain to go below 0 tonight in Madison, with no other below 0 temps on the horizon and time running out quickly for them to occur there is another record we could be trying to attain or tie, least number of below zero days in a year. Currently the record holder is 1877-78 with 1 but I am always skeptical of temperature records back then since measurements were only taken 3 times a day. A more modern record is 1997-98 with 2 days. Unfortunately it looks like it will go below 0 before midnight, which means we will get hit with 2 days below 0, even though it's occurring for only 1 night.
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arctic front blasting through here now and blowing all the snow around. got about an inch beforehand
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18z NAMs trending downward with snow here. First and final call of 1.2" (with some bonus borderline brief whiteout conditions with the arctic front)
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12z GFS with a slight trend downward in precip/snowfall amounts. It looks like the initial WAA snow will miss us in Wisconsin so we'll have to rely on the wrap around deformation snow as the northern stream wave phases
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6” here with a little bit more back end snow to come
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Madison hasn't had a temp below 0 yet. The lowest so far is 0 set on January 19th. The standing record for warmest minimum temp of a winter so far is -4 set in 1930-31. Will be interesting to see how low we can go at the end of the week. Current point has -1.
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Snow back building of the snow band here with some healthy sized flakes
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Heavy rates to wind this one up but only about a half hour left of the snow
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4.5” reported by family members about 15 miles NW of Madison. Around 3.5” here but tough to measure accurately in the city
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light snow started here around 4:30. picking up in intensity with nice flakes. visibility below a mile
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NAM and HRRR rending upward again. Getting a little bit hyped for this event
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Things trending upward here. Think there will be some good rates from about 6 am through 2 pm
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12z NAMs bring higher totals a bit further south into WI. Looking solid for 3-5" here
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2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:
Do solar mins lead to less PV disruptions?
No in fact people have tried to argue the opposite, that solar minimums lead to more high latitude blocking and therefore PV disruptions.
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42 minutes ago, weatherbo said:
Snow has tapered to flurries after falling heavy at times today. Measured 9" on the railing of the deck.
With no real thaw here this winter, snow depth is around 4'. Anytime it has gotten above freezing a degree or so, dews remained low with little melt.
There's a "Shinning" type feel to winter now.
What have your snow out days been the last few springs? Also I wonder how much liquid content is in that snow
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still looking solid for 3-6" here. Only the NAM is not playing ball and even that is trending upwards. 12z Canadian shows the heaviest band heading into N Illinois. Gives Cyclone and Hawkeye a good hit
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GFS with a very solid hit for N IA through S WI. Even Rockford gets 3-4” on this run. But it’s the GFS 72 hours out so who knows
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12z Euro trending southward. Brings 3-5" snow totals to S Wisconsin
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All of the models are consistently showing a swath of 3-6"+ for the northern half of the subforum from early Sunday through Monday, with the higher totals to the west and lower totals to the east as the wave weakens. The Euro is further N with the band of snow while the GFS, Canadian and UKMET are in the southern camp for now. GEFS mean looks solid for N Iowa, S Minnesota and Wisconsin.
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37.4" of snow here on the season. 8.1" in Oct, 7.6" in Nov, 2.9" in Dec and 18.8" in Jan.
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Tied for the 10th warmest January at MSN
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record high broken both at 11 am at MSN and MKE. Up to 50 here with a couple more hours to increase the temp. the snowpack will survive this but it's definitely taking a hit
February 17-18 Snow Potential
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
big flakes here. looks like the last push before the mixed precipitation starts to move in