madwx

Middle next week through the weekend is gonna be rockin'

Broke the record yesterday. Might make a run at precip today. Record is 1.86"

record warm min watch for Madison. It only got down to 71 here this morning, and the record is 70 set way back in 1875. Will be a close call later this evening.

dewpoint up to 58 here. Really feeling the humidity for the first time this year

https://www.al.com/news/2020/05/montgomery-running-out-of-icu-beds-as-coronavirus-cases-double-in-may.html the virus is just withering in the heat

Even with the filtered sunshine here about to tag 70 for the second day in a row. Wisconsin finally not socked in total cloud cover while Illinois is. Usually it is the other way around.

https://www.al.com/news/2020/05/montgomery-running-out-of-icu-beds-as-coronavirus-cases-double-in-may.html Summer won't save us if we don't keep up social distancing measures of no large gatherings and limited people in group indoor spaces.

should be a legitimate chance of severe weather Sat-Mon in the subforum

Full sun here this morning after days of cloud cover. Gonna be a beautiful day, even as clouds fill back in the afternoon.

It's a lot easier to get Gulf of Mexico moisture when the GOM is in your front yard.

hundreds of millions of years ago, the midwest was under a shallow sea. I always thought it would be cool to see what that would be like, what I didn't know is that I'd get to see it in my lifetime.

It's crazy how much wetter the 30 year climate means will be when the data set changes from 1981-2010 to 1991-2020 For MSN Jan 1.23" -> 1.46" Feb 1.45" -> 1.52" Mar 2.19" -> 2.26" Apr 3.40" -> 3.78" May 3.55" -> 4.02" (at least) Jun 4.54" -> 5.27" (estimated) Jul 4.18" -> 4.34" (estimated) Aug 4.26" -> 4.27" (estimated) Sep 3.13" -> 3.37" (estimated) Oct 2.40" -> 2.73" (estimated) Nov 2.39" -> 2.21" (estimated) Dec 1.75" -> 1.71" (estimated) Only December and November have seen slight decreases in precip and some months (Apr - Jun, Sep - Oct) have seen significant increases in precip.

It depends on how the shortwaves eject from the western trough but should have a few chances at thunderstorms starting Friday as well

We've got easterly winds throughout the depth of the troposphere. Not something you see every day.

Very efficient rain making. 0.92” here so far with 12+ hours of rain to go

also its crazy that most of Kansas has not had a tornado watch yet this year. In fact the state only had its first tornado last night.

The trend continues with the 18z NAM, further north and slower. Makes Sunday a little more interesting

Look at how paltry tornado watches have been across the northern half of the area the past year (or couple years)

the latest NAM has 500-1000 J/KG of ML CAPE over Wisconsin and Michigan early Sunday morning and has it lasting into the afternoon in Michigan. Previous runs had the low going from the Quad Cities to Toledo, the new run has it going from La Crosse to Detroit.

GFS and NAM are trending north with this weekends storm system, more in line with the Euro. Too bad the timing isn't great for the western lakes, otherwise we could have some good storm chances.

After the fog burned off this morning its almost all clear except for a few passing cirrus, temps warming into the 70s with a light northerly breeze. 10/10 day on tap

Getting some nice thunder tonight @CheeselandSkies

this pattern reminds me so much of something more mid summer-like (besides the temps), explosive convective growth in Iowa, modest mid and upper level winds and training thunderstorms later over Illinois.

Yeah, I've been doing calculations of how much of each state has been infected based on the fatalities and an assumed fatality rate of 0.7% and I have about 3.5% of people in Indiana infected right now which seems to match that data. Based on that only 4 states have had more than 10% of the population infected, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Massachusetts. And 15 states have had less than 1% of people infected.

Midwestern farmers should invest in hydroponics the way rainfall has trended in the area the past 2 decades