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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. there is no scientific reason why the virus will be more deadly for young people in the future. In fact most diseases become less deadly as time goes on since the less deadly strains are more likely to spread. The 1918 influenza was abnormal in the fact that it became more deadly with the second wave
  2. Down to 989.5 MSLP. should be a new June record for Madison
  3. I think we need 990.2 to break the all time June record
  4. That's definitely not the case in the western lakes. Summers have been markedly wetter. Even in the eastern lakes precip trends seems fairly flat. MSN summer rainfall trends above for reference
  5. winds a steady 20 with gusts into the 30s now. first showers on the doorstep here.
  6. Yeah the N/NW gusts behind the plains low are more impressive than the Cristobal winds right now. Must be great mixing conditions over there
  7. all the CAMs have trended upward with rain in the Madison area this morning. The cirrus canopy is really overspreading the area now
  8. based on my thoughts on how the shear will play out, I think the precip core for any cells will get shoved pretty far out of the way for any right moving cells. The strange backing with height is high up enough that it will really stretch out the updraft to the north, away from the track of the storm.. Think some days with nice VBV, except wonkier and probably really messy with low LCLs
  9. both HRRRs have precip moving through S Wisconsin fairly quickly tomorrow, between 2-10, with a fairly convective look. Immediately afterwards winds turn to the SW and get very gusty into the overnight hours. The plains wave then moves eastward and that precip rolls in starting Wednesday morning. I'm looking at 3 periods for gusty winds tomorrow 1)ESE winds getting progressively gustier from around 9-2 tomorrow 2) any strong gusts brought down by convective features during the afternoon and evening 3) and perhaps the strongest winds behind the frontal feature after 10 pm.
  10. snowing in Laramie, Wyoming right now if you thought our non-snow season wasn't short enough in the Midwest.
  11. got 89'd here today. Feels like I'm living in Dayton
  12. hi res models are on the east end of guidance and if they are correct we are going to get poured on
  13. Definitely intrigued at the possibility of tornadoes in the NE quadrant of this
  14. Euro trending faster and further west. Has it in SE Iowa on Tuesday evening now
  15. hoping it comes through 12 hours earlier so we can have some convective potential with it. models are trending that way
  16. Have we ever had tropical remnants go sub 980 in the Lakes?
  17. yeah 12z Euro has below zero 850 temps as far south as northern Illinois by next Friday morning. woof
  18. Yeah it has a heavy snowstorm breaking out in western Ontario on the back side of the remnants
  19. we don't drought like we used to
  20. storms blowing up quickly NE of Rochester, much further east that any CAMs had storms developing at this hour
  21. yeah its strange, even though we had a wet May we are teetering on the edge here. Some areas have flooded fields yet some areas already have cracks in the soil
  22. v4 has precip extending further south which seems like a more realistic representation
  23. it's pretty impressive to have temps in the upper 80s, dews in the upper 60s and not a single cloud in the sky
  24. Many Americans have been unhappy for years. With the leadership gap at the top and the pandemic putting more pressure on the lower and middle class this was inevitable unfortunately.
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