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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. sitting in front of a S facing window watching the snow melt outside and dare I say, the sun feels pretty strong
  2. What does it show for the northern half of the subforum?
  3. Freezing fog came in overnight and deposited rime ice on everything. Looks as if it had snowed overnight
  4. bright sunshine this morning. nice change of pace. rime ice was pretty brilliant in the sunshine
  5. Yeah I always hear about the LRC a few times a winter which makes me think they just find a couple times it matches the pattern from ~45 days back and make it work. If it was a true match we could just map out the whole winter.
  6. parts of DMX that were under a WSW until 6 AM are now probably only going to get freezing drizzle the rest of the storm La Crosse area is going to really get shafted. They were under an advisory(1 county away from a warning) and only had 0.8" as of 6pm
  7. lol the back end is already approaching the Mississippi River N of Dubuque. gotta go fast. Edit: a good 8 hours ahead of when the NAM has the back edge crossing the river
  8. Pivotal has it. Its running 4 times daily for the next month as this is part of its final test before becoming operational.
  9. lull here now. should pick back up soon enough though
  10. to highlight how quick hitting this will be in the end(at least north of the WI/IL border) the back end of the snow is already approaching I35 in Iowa.
  11. already accumulating. not huge flakes but pretty efficient.
  12. and it's started at my place. flurries now but should ramp up quickly
  13. based on Radar and mPing snow is spreading into Madison. About an hour or two earlier than models suggested. It's easily overcoming the dry low levels
  14. La Crosse bringing top notch banter to their forecast discussion
  15. 6.5” final call here with snow ending by 1 am and some patchy freezing drizzle until sunrise
  16. We’re going to moisten up pretty rapidly this afternoon and go gangbusters for a few hours
  17. Cloud bases still at 17,000 feet here. Going to need all of the next 7 hours to saturate
  18. one thing for sure this will be a quick hitter. Can see the snow winding down in Madison by around midnight with only maybe an inch or two at best after that
  19. Yeah lots of selective memory bias with how models performed in the past. There’s not some magical thing that’s made them worse in the past few years. They have gotten slightly better over the time. For example take a look at the GFS v16. It has been regularly outperforming the standard GFS so far the past few months
  20. Canadian a touch north with the main band. Looks like the models are settling in now
  21. Unless the 0z global models change their tune and move NW it's everyone vs the NAMs FWIW.
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