madwx

Huge fire event may happen in California early next week. welcome to the new normal

I think people forget how nature works sometimes. You could get Covid from someone being by them for 1 minute. The odds are much lower than 15 minutes but its still there. Just like there's no magic barrier at 6 feet. Sure it goes down further away from that but its not like there's a magical barrier where someone 7 feet away can't give you covid.

people like to apply reasoning for disease spread to fit their personal beliefs. in reality humans are imperfect and this disease can spread easily so there are many, many variables for disease spread and not just one specific government decision.

I would also like to point out that before this Wisconsin was 43rd in deaths per capita out of all states so it had been doing well keeping cases and deaths low. Out of all states for an outbreak to currently occur in, it makes sense that it's happening in Wisconsin.

48 deaths in Wisconsin today. The record case numbers of the past few weeks are now coming to roost

Snow Squall Warning along I80 in the Des Moines area

There are ideas that the Russian Flu in the late 1800s was actually the introduction of one of the common coronaviruses we have today. There were a lot more neurological symptoms with it than normally occur with the flu

Guessing it’s more around 0.5-0.7% when it’s all said and done. Started around the high end at the beginning and will get to the lower end as we get better treatments. Some states like Utah and Alaska have a CFR in that range right now

North Dakota only has 13 ICU beds available. The city of Bismarck only has 1 left. I'm guessing the closest city with ICU beds is hours away

you know it's the cold season when forecast discussions talk about early evening lows with temps rising throughout the night.

I think the biggest lesson is that you can't completely eradicate the disease in western societies, so the big goals are the slow the spread by encouraging mask wearing, not allowing mass gatherings and letting people who can work from home work from home and other common sense measures to keep hospital numbers down

the ride never ends

looking like a good chance for some flurries if not outright snow N of a line from The Quad Cities to Chicago to Detroit over the next 4 or 5 days

looks like troughing last over the east for at least a week or two. The GEFS and CFS have a relatively weak vortex through the period which goes hand and hand with the blocking pattern.

This is fun, lets do it for MSN Record High 10 Easiest to Break 51 on February 13 50 on December 26 50 on December 27 64 on November 12 47 on February 1 47 on January 30 47 on January 19 48 on January 14 50 on February 9 50 on February 7 10 Hardest to break 62 on December 28 76 on November 7 68 on February 22 62 on December 20 58 on January 6 60 on December 24 57 on January 3 63 on February 12 63 on February 15 77 on November 1 Record Lows 10 Easiest to Break -10 December 12 -13 February 14 -14 February 15 -16 January 1 -19 January 27 -9 February 26 -19 February 6 -16 December 30 -16 December 31 -11 December 6 10 Hardest to Break -37 January 30 -20 February 28 -14 November 28 -28 December 24 -26 December 27 -22 December 9 -11 November 29 0 November 5 1 November 7 -7 November 21 **Bonus** -29 March 1 (which is an amazing 15 degrees colder than any other record low in the month of March. Must have been some radiational cooling)

Looks like a chance for more development in the Western Caribbean after 10/15, but climo says that should stay east of Louisiana

If that's the case I'll have started the most popular thread in forum history. My only hope is for more moisture, in whatever form. I can handle warm if there are storms to track

very neat. microclimates always interest me. Reminds me of driving around my town at night when I was younger and the car thermometer would bounce around by 5+ degrees

With all the COVID talk and the fact that we're weeks into Fall already we need a fresh start on this board. This upcoming week is going to be lovely but the lack of rain/severe this fall has been disappointing. Hoping with can get some dynamic fall systems toward the end of the month that can bring some rain/wind/severe and backside snow.

down to 31 here this morning. First frost and freeze of the season

lockdowns aren't really practical at this point in terms of limiting spread. Really two things can help things from getting out of hand, rapid testing like the kind that was approved by the WHO today and no large indoor events.

shut down the bad math and lack of fact checking that pervades our media. I agree

Lol still not understanding the difference between percent and ratio. I just used that same chart to prove what was wrong with the numbers. Look on the left side. Infection fatality ratio.

see my post above with the actual CDC data. Fox News was using bad math

classic misinterpretation of the percentage or as some people like to say today, fake news. The actual data is in a ratio but this mainstream media org just slapped a percent at the end instead of moving the decimal two places to the right like you should when converting from a ratio to a percent. so it's really .003% for 0-19, 0.02% from 20-49, 0.5% for 50-69 and 5.4% for 70+.