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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. This month looks to start out on the mild side with a possible cutter at the end of the first week. But after that there are signs in the long range models that much below normal temps could be in the cards for the 2nd and 3rd weeks of February.
  2. 18z GFS is wagons south. Not quite to the Euro but a significant step
  3. one nice thing about this event is that there will be a lot of moisture advection with it. Models show low and mid levels will be pretty juiced
  4. we had our first sunset after 5 pm a couple days ago. Next big milestone on our march to spring is 10 hours of daylight, which we'll get on Feb 2.
  5. sun coming out here and mood flakes winding down. thinking around 6.5" here total. Anywhere between 6"-10" in the county, most NW.
  6. still lightly snowing here. Family member got 9.5" in the NW part of Dane County. They were under the heavy fronto band for about 3 hours last night.
  7. got about 6" here, with some drifts of well over a foot. Roads look to be a mess
  8. Des Moines up to 12.6" storm total O'Hare at 3.1" Quad Cities at 6.1"
  9. Estimating 4” or so outside right now. The heaviest band has set up just north of town
  10. Snow starting here as a wall of 25 dBz reflectivities hit us. Moderate sized flakes right now
  11. Dry air holding out here for now but slowly slowly losing the battle. Ceilings down to 1700 feet
  12. Probably won't fully saturate here until 7 or so. Should be some good rates between 2-6 AM
  13. if we get over 4" here the v16 GFS is the real winner. Was hammering the N trend for a while
  14. Even the GFS has us getting 6+” in 24 hours. Have to imagine we’ll get at least an advisory with the overnight package
  15. Can’t wait to luck ourselves into a warning criteria storm
  16. Man that was the ultimate nut storm around here. Got about 18” at my house iirc
  17. I for one am proud of starting a thread for a storm that’s gonna drop 2” max
  18. It hasn’t been a completely classic La Niña winter but this is a classic hallmark as you head further East
  19. lots of panicking here right now. take a deep breath everyone. Still a warning criteria snow for W of I39 and the lakeshore counties.
  20. The v16 GFS (para) is performing much better overall than the current operational GFS so far this winter
  21. Snow started around 9 here. A dusting on the ground already
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