spotty showers here so far this morning. Stayed all liquid so far but snow or sleet may mix in for a time later before precip moves out this evening.
Much appreciated sunny skies and warm up starting Friday.
it took long enough but the GFS finally came back down to earth here and now only forecasts 3" after predicting warning criteria snow for about the past 5 days
HRRR which had been on the low end of totals jumped up to 5" here. Paved surfaces won't accumulate as much but models are honing in on the high end advisory scenario here.
There is actually pretty good agreement on a cutter going far NW around the 21-24. Should flood the area with mild air and bring a chance of thunderstorms.
The GFS still has really high amounts here compared to all the other models. I'm still forecasting a low end advisory, guessing about 3-4" when it's all said and done
looks like a pretty potent fronto band that will weaken with time as it heads eastward. Models anywhere between 1-5 inches here. Initial guess is on the low end of that range
Same, there were still a few piles in my yard but they easily got wiped out overnight. The frost in the ground also thawed as the piles of standing water yesterday are gone now, despite some rain this morning.