madwx

the aformentioned NAM run. Kuchera totals

Correct, the maximum north latitude it will track is around 41.5 degrees north. That is its path over the 3 hour period it is expected to reenter, with the best estimate reentry time in the middle where the satellite icon is. The blue is the track before the expected reentry and the yellow is the track after the reentry time but still in the window

it changes very rapidly. For example it's now expected to reenter about a half hour earlier which would mean it impacts in the pacific ocean. Each horizontal dash on the yellow/blue line is five minutes in time

https://twitter.com/AerospaceCorp I've been using this site to track the predicted landing spot. Obviously there are many dynamics at play that we can't measure and being off by 30 mins means it could reenter about 1/4 of the globe away. but it will most like be somewhere along the yellow or blue lines in this image around 10 pm Central tonight, with the best guess of the N Atlantic right now

the real disappointment is that the clouds from this system are going to ruin my Chinese rocket debris views tonight

wagons definitely south on this one

3KM NAM wants to give us snow showers with a shortwave on Monday. The ride never ends

won't be surprised with some upper 20s here as well. looks like a couple more nights with frost potential on sunday and monday nights

MKX mention a rain snow mix in passing in their AFD but didn't say much about it.

its all fun and games until I realize this subforum is just me, Hoosier and Spartman's 89 sock puppet accounts.

eh temps are really marginal so it doesn't really accumulate. In the end I think this will trend to rain

This will ruin my Vitamin D intake. Sad

don't worry, it gets better.

hydrate a lot beforehand. get comfy and find some good movies to watch. also be prepared for the chance that your symptoms are much milder because that can be the case, especially for people who've already had covid.

the great Mount Tambora eruption of 2014

got 1.62" here today. Really helping stave off the drought.

Foreshadowing a summer of 89s in Dayton

ended with an average temp of 49.2 here. 2.7 degrees above average. 25th warmest April. Only 1.44 inches of precip, over 2 inches below average and 24th driest on record

Only rained imby once since April 11. Need some rain and need it quickly before things start going off the rails in terms of drought

like @cyclone77 lots of dust devils in open fields today. the dry air is allowing for some impressive mixing

you may find yourself, sitting under a polar high

Nice little NW flow wave moving through here this afternoon. Already some lightning strikes near La Crosse

I'm 29. Got Pfizer, first dose was a sore arm and dry mouth. Second dose was a sorer arm and general fatigue and a headache, nothing bad but felt tired for about a day or so.

so there's been talk of lack of severe weather in the spring in the Midwest so I decided to look at number of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings issued by Milwaukee by April 30 each year: 2021: 0 2020: 8 2019: 3 2018: 3 2017: 26 2016: 2 2015: 12 2014: 14 2013: 3 2012: 4 2011: 24 2010: 10 2009: 3 2008: 14 2007: 11 2006: 21 2005: 29 2004: 10 2003: 0 2002: 29 2001: 6 2000: 19 So no huge trends but we've definitely been in a drought recently for severe weather in the spring. 2002-2011 was really a boom time for early spring severe

severe thunderstorm warning in NE Wisconsin right now with sfc temps around 40 degress