madwx
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Everything posted by madwx
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561 height line going thru Chicago, seems like NW flow and upper 50s, not early winter
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Severe Thunderstorm warning for Isle Royale currently. Not something you see often, especially in October
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Madison has set the record for most days in a year with high temps at or above 75. Will be quickly closing in on days above 70 as well
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like Cyclone got a much needed 3/4 of a inch yesterday. Have had very dense fog since about 8 pm last night. Can definitely tell we are slowly turning theh page to fall
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Some Thoughts on the Winter 2021-22 Outlook
madwx replied to OHweather's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Interesting read. I know you're planning on more detailed monthly thoughts next month but what are your initial expectations? Do you think we will have a more front loaded winter in terms of cold/snow in the GL/OV? -
Yeah, i think the dry conditions really helped with that. There were numerous days where afternoon heating really overperformed
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glad to be living it what will be the last inhabitable land in the world. Gonna start building a tower to defend it.
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lol GL/OV is back baby and I love it
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October is the best month to torch, wouldn't mind holding onto highs in the 60s as long as possible. As always, could use some rain
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Rex block for a week. Stagnant CONUS pattern. Screams active
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Teresa the shortie
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HOF first post
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The orange would be Odette regenerating, but the wave moving off Africa in the next couple days has a good chance of being Teresa.
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Getting hit very hard with rain, probably going to end up well over 1.5" here. Definitely the wettest thunderstorm of the year for us
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nice bowing segment heading toward me. Tornadoes possible with any parts of the line that surge NEward.
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new convection firing over the center. Definitely qualifies as a TC
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some p sick gyres moving around the center tho
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January will be rockin'
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Getting Dayton'd again
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what a different world it is up there
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Significant cool down looks on tap with the major storm system in the middle of next week
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Weaker stratospheric polar vortex means that there is a greater chance at polar intrusions into the mid latitudes since the polar night jet won't be as strong. There will be more of a negative Arctic Oscillation.
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2nd year Nina climo would favor colder and wetter than last year but last year didn't really follow 1st year Nina climo rules. Initial model trends do lean toward a weaker than average Stratospheric Polar vortex.
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Tennis Ball sized hail near Green Bay this morning
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This is actually a very favorable look for Atlantic Hurricanes. Upward motion over Africa and the Indian ocean is highly correlated with the most active seasons.
