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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. I would say 24", we've gotten some totals of around 20" in the area with storms before and that's with imperfect storms so I think a 2 footer is reasonable.
  2. Ground got coated last night. 0.2” here. It all melted by this morning though. Backside flurries with gusty winds now
  3. Snow starting here. Nice flake size already
  4. Snowing here this morning. Nothing accumulating yet
  5. the fact that this is starting overnight is really gonna help with laying down that initial layer of snow, feeling more and more optimisitc about this one
  6. you have to be under 35 to post on this sub now. 18z GFS with a bit of an uptick north of the WI/IL border with this one. Still early but I would bet on accums with this one here
  7. the convective snow showers on Friday have my eye, with the strong winds and steep lapse rates could be a pretty impressive day
  8. there was so much low level haze from farmers clearing their fields today. The thickest I've ever seen that, was like fog in some places
  9. too many deer have chronic wasting around here.
  10. got a few flurries overnight for our first trace of snow at the house.
  11. I was gonna rag on nwohweather for still posting in here but then I realized spartman's ohio valley zoom on pivotal weather includes South Carolina so I can't complain
  12. Nice warming trend in the mid range. This weekend and early next week are going to be beautiful for November standards
  13. No, in fact it's been the opposite trend. Almost all TV mets now have a Met degree of some sort
  14. 11th warmest October on record for Madison. The cool nights the past week dropped us from a top 5. Warmest October on record for Milwaukee
  15. got down to 32, frost covered everything out there this morning. Good chance of hitting the 20s tonight
  16. almost certainly will be getting our first frost and freeze this weekend. Lawn has enjoyed the late season warmth and precip and is looking the best it has looked all year
  17. come back from South Carolina, we need you
  18. I'm pro letting people post stuff and educating them on what it means or encouraging a use of ensemble means vs. a single run of an model. I agree that 192 hour model graphics aren't useful on their own but it can't hurt to teach people, no matter which poster it is. I'd rather turn the weenies into knowledgeable weenies.
  19. Joe Bastardi predicting a cold winter. Must be October again
  20. we're gunning for the warmest October on record and I definitely think it's possible. Need a daily average of 53 degrees for the last half of the month to get there
  21. You want the a broader trough that encompasses more of the midwest and less amplitude in the upstream ridge. I mean this is all a bit too much analysis of one map since patterns are composed of many days to multiple weeks and not just a snapshot of one day. We need to look at how the entire flow of the NH is evolving. And wavelengths will be longer by Dec/Jan anyway.
  22. substitute upper 50s with upper 30s and that's what this pattern would be in winter, dry NW flow and not all that cold due to the ridge being pumped up over the plains.
  23. Definitely expecting a frost one of these next two nights if not both. I’ve noticed my house is in a bit of a microclimate, it can be up to 5 degrees colder than the center of the small town nearby. My neighborhood is in a bit of a bowl with hills to our north and west and we have a creek just to our south which must cause some cold air drainage at night
  24. 561 height line going thru Chicago, seems like NW flow and upper 50s, not early winter
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